SRF

SEAREFICO ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE −0.34%, −3.28pp YoY
Price
7,700
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 28.79x
P/B 0.62x
EPS 267
BVPS 12,520
ROE 2.1%
ROA 0.5%
Profit Margin 0.8%
Asset Turnover 0.70x
Equity Mult. 3.92x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SRF is maintaining revenue growth, but margins have not improved proportionally — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,224bn
+27.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.05%
−0.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 13bn
+25.7%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
122.3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 180.7 499.2 297.6 246.3 148.6 385.1 196.7 227.3 271.0 471.1 440.6 458.8
Growth -64% +68% +21% +66% -61% +96% -13% -16% -42% +7% -4%
Net Income 2.4 15.7 0.9 -6.1 9.3 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.6 -0.9 0.8 0.7
Net Margin 1.31% 3.15% 0.31% -2.48% 6.24% 0.01% 0.46% 0.01% 0.23% -0.18% 0.18% 0.16%

Drivers of SRF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 74.0bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 51.4bn
Other profit ↑ 45.2bn
Tax ↓ 1.2bn
Financial income ↓ 138.9bn
Finance costs ↑ 19.6bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 57.7bn
Gross profit ↑ 57.4bn
Other profit ↑ 26.2bn
Tax ↓ 2.1bn
Financial income ↓ 149.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 2.3% = 1.1% × 0.59 × 3.68
2026Q1 2.9% = 1.1% × 0.70 × 3.92

ROE rose from 2.3% to 2.9% — mainly driven by leverage.

Net margin: 1.1% -0.0pp Asset turnover: 0.70x +0.11x Leverage: 3.92x +0.25x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 1.05%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.05% −0.0pp
Gross Margin 7.61% +5.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.56% −6.5pp
Non-core / Revenue -0.68% −11.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 11.6pp, financial result still accounts for 122.3% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -0.34%, losing 3.3pp. That translates to -0.34 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 2.5pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 91bn.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -0.34% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC -0.34% −3.3pp
NOPAT Margin -0.23% −2.5pp
Capital Turnover 1.46x +0.18x
Average Invested Capital 837.5bn +91.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 3.03x equity, net debt at 1.15x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 401.7bn, roughly 22.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 113.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −0.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −184.8bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +298.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 32.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 21.9 days, DSO fell 83.5 days, and DPO fell 29.5 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 181.5 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +21.9 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 154.1 days −83.5 days
Inventory 155.2 days +21.9 days
Payables 127.8 days −29.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 181.5 days −32.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 121.5bn due to capex of 95.5bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.15x and interest coverage only at -0.09x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 95.6% of total debt, cash equals 17.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 620.3bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.15x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -0.09x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.15x +0.55x
Interest Coverage -0.09x −1.32x
Cash / Debt 17.4% −13.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 95.6% +12.1pp
CFO / NI -2.77x +22.00x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -174.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 19.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +155.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +160.3bn.

CFO / net income was -2.77x.

After spending +95.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −121.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 26.0bn +202.9bn
Cash Capex 95.5bn +84.9bn
FCF TTM −121.5bn +118.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -164.1%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at -0.3%.

Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 118.0bn versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for -164.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -2.77x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,207.5 1,082.7 1,643.5 1,185.6 930.4
Cost of Goods Sold
1,175.4 1,012.3 1,534.8 1,204.4 0.0
Gross Profit
32.1 70.4 108.8 -18.8 90.4
Financial Expenses
60.2 31.0 54.6 48.8 -36.8
Selling Expenses
1.6 1.2 1.8 4.1 -3.6
General and Administrative Expenses
105.1 56.4 63.4 160.4 -44.2
Operating Profit
50.6 -10.4 3.6 -127.5 35.4
Profit Before Tax
31.5 6.8 7.5 -126.9 36.3
Net Income
24.6 1.2 3.8 -141.3 32.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
20.0 1.7 3.0 -141.3 27.8
Earnings per Share
591.00 52.00 79.00 -4,269.00 781.47

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