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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

MCG

Năng lượng và Bất động sản MCG

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 8.4bn, fell 6.4bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from better other profit and lower minority interests. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses, lower gross profit, and higher finance costs. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
-14.29x
P/B
0.57x
EPS
-161
BVPS
4,015
ROE
-3.6%
ROA
-0.6%
Market price
2,300
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, MCG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Other profit
  2. Minority interests
  3. Administrative expenses
  4. Gross profit
  5. Finance costs
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue10.37.111.19.316.88.614.97.9
LNST-1.3-3.3-8.61.00.7-3.10.4-2.4
Net margin-13.00%-46.51%-77.04%10.28%3.95%-36.20%2.77%-30.43%

Revenue

10bn

Net income

-1bn

Net margin

-13.00%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

Revenue Growth

▼▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 21.6% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+18% → −39%).

1 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
38bn
−21.6%
Latest quarter YoY
−39%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to −32.36%, losing 23.2pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 24.1pp and Gross margin fell 4.1pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 18.3pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 10.7pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
−32.36%
−23.2pp
Gross Margin
19.24%
−4.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
30.51%
+24.1pp
Non-core / Revenue
−18.51%
+7.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 167.0% of PBT and lifted net margin by 7.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

Leverage needs watching — cash flow shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 3.3bn against investing cash flow of -5.6bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +2.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +0.5bn.

CFO / net income was −0,40 lần.

After spending +14.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −11.5bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Earnings Quality

▼

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income reaches 167.0% of pre-tax profit — core earnings are thinner than the headline.

Within that, net financial result at +112.1%, other profit at +54.9% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
167.0%
high
Net financial / PBT
112.1%
Other profit / PBT
54.9%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 297.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 171.1 days, DSO rose 65.1 days, and DPO rose 191.7 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +65.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin -32.4% -23.2pp
Asset turnover 0.03x -0.01x
Financial leverage 5.90x +0.17x
ROE -5.3% +3.4pp

ROE fell from −1.9% to −5.3% — dragged by net margin and asset turnover.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.44x and interest coverage only at −1.35x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 2.2% of total debt, cash equals 1.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 571.9bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Net Debt / Equity
2.44x
+0.05x
Interest Coverage
−1.35x
−1.02x
Cash / Debt
1.5%
+1.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
2.2%
+1.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 2.44x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is −1.35x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Balance Sheet

▼▼

Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 5.04x equity, net debt at 2.44x equity.

Owner advances stand at 13.0bn (as of 2026Q2) — the contractor is funded along the contract schedule, easing the pressure to self-finance working capital.

Owner advances: 13.0bn · YoY −0.0bn

Advances / receivables: 32.84% — funded vs stuck

The contractor's survival axis: site receivables 39.7bn vs equity 230.9bn — 17.18% of the capital base is sitting on job sites. Collection is very slow: ≈ 383 days of revenue sit in receivables — over a year.

Receivables / equity: 17.18% · receivables YoY −18.87% · equity YoY 0.65%

DSO: 383 days

Sector note: contractor gross margins are THIN (19.24% TTM) by design — value lives in contract turnover and collection discipline, not margin. Do not compare with manufacturers.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 8.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 23.2 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 112.1%.

  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 112.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −0.40x.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -32.36% after a 23.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −21,6% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current -32.36% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 3.3bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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