TTZ
Đầu tư Xây dựng và Công nghệ Tiến Trung ·UPCOM ·2023Q4
▲ Showing improvement
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2023Q4 basis, TTZ posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base. However, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.
| Metric | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Growth | -87% | +59% | -57% | -61% | +1446% | -22% | -17% | +64% | -88% | +138% | +205% | — |
| Net Income | 0.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -0.3 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -2.4 |
| Net Margin | 150.99% | -37.43% | -33.07% | 14.54% | 59.24% | -114.46% | -1248.06% | -45.71% | -157.76% | 36.63% | 17.76% | -777.35% |
Drivers of TTZ's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to weaker other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from -3.7% to -0.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins improved (+40.0pp), but earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources — warrants closer scrutiny.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to -5.54%, rising 40.0pp. Despite pressure from Gross margin fell 11.9pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.3pp, the offset came from Other profit / Revenue rose 46.2pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 6.0pp.
Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Watchpoints
Non-core sources accounts for 101.8% of PBT and lifted net margin by 52.2pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at -0.64%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to -0.64 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 6.2pp, but capital turnover broadly stable, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -0.64% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.15x equity, net debt at 0.01x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 11.8bn, roughly 15.5% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 3.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 268.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 809.7 days, DSO fell 64.7 days, and DPO rose 476.1 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 1017.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DIO increased by +809.7 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2.5bn due to capex of 0.5bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.01x and interest coverage only at -1.86x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 61.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 1.0bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -1.86x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -2.0bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of -0.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +2.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +1.0bn.
CFO / net income was 9.89x.
After spending +0.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2.5bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at -0.6%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -108.4%. The main offsetting support comes from operating efficiency, with net margin improving 40.0 pp.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at -5.54% after expanding 40.0pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 9.89x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for -108.4% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
3.7 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
0.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | -0.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | -3.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-0.8 | -0.2 | 0.7 | -3.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-1.0 | -2.3 | 0.6 | -5.4 |
|
Net Income
|
-1.1 | -2.3 | 0.6 | -5.9 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-1.1 | -2.3 | 0.6 | -5.9 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-139.00 | -304.00 | 0.00 | -778.42 |
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