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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 3/2024

VTA

Vitaly

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 3/2024

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 23.9bn, rose 4.1bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower selling expenses, lower administrative expenses, and lower finance costs. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
-0.60x
P/B
0.57x
EPS
-2,991
BVPS
3,183
ROE
-63.9%
ROA
-14.2%
Market price
1,800
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2024Q3 basis, VTA is under pressure on both revenue and margins simultaneously — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Selling expenses
  2. Administrative expenses
  3. Finance costs
  4. Gross profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 3/2024

MetricQ3'24Q2'24Q1'24Q4'23Q3'23Q2'23Q1'23Q4'22
Revenue20.426.928.729.032.946.344.159.6
LNST-4.0-6.5-4.1-9.3-6.0-9.0-4.2-8.8
Net margin-19.87%-24.06%-14.26%-32.13%-18.28%-19.48%-9.46%-14.81%

Revenue

20bn

Net income

-4bn

Net margin

-19.87%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▼▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 42.6% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from −51% to −38%.

0 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
105bn
−42.6%
Latest quarter YoY
−38%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to −22.80%, losing 7.5pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 6.1pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.5pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
−22.80%
−7.5pp
Gross Margin
−10.68%
−6.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
9.53%
+0.9pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

Leverage needs watching — cash flow shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 9.9bn against investing cash flow of 8.3bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +18.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +22.7bn.

CFO / net income was −0,51 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Earnings Quality

●

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income makes up 11.3% of pre-tax profit — worth monitoring.

Within that, net financial result at +10.8%, other profit at +0.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
11.3%
moderate
Net financial / PBT
10.8%
Other profit / PBT
0.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼▼

ROIC fell to −27.09%, losing 2.6pp. That translates to −27.09 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 7.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.42x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently −27.09% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼

Rising inventory is showing up in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 26.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 72.4 days, DSO rose 7.0 days, and DPO rose 52.8 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 137.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +7.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin -22.8% -7.5pp
Asset turnover 0.62x -0.24x
Financial leverage 4.50x +1.16x
ROE -63.9% +19.7pp

ROE fell from −44.2% to −63.9% — dragged by net margin and asset turnover.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.92x and interest coverage only at −8.53x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 96.2% of total debt, cash equals 0.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 49.1bn.

Net Debt / Equity
1.92x
+0.86x
Interest Coverage
−8.53x
−0.98x
Cash / Debt
0.7%
−0.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
96.2%
+1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.92x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is −8.53x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Balance Sheet

●

The balance sheet shows capital-allocation efficiency slipping. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at -5.17x equity, net debt at 1.92x equity.

Construction materials are input-cost-cycle businesses — gross margin is the thermometer. Input costs are eating the margin: gross margin narrowed 6.1pp YoY to −10.68% (TTM). Margin flexing with the raw-material cycle is a group property — the next question is how much high-cost inventory remains.

Gross margin (TTM): −10.68% · YoY -6.1pp

Inventory 78.0bn — 51.25% of total assets, above the materials-group median (13.00%); ≈ 245 days of sales.

Inventory / assets: 51.25% (group median 13.00%)

Days inventory outstanding: 245

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 36.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 0.0%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 7.5 pp.

  • Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -22.80% after a 7.5pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −42,6% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current -22.80% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 9.9bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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