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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

LIC

Tổng Công ty LICOGI - CTCP

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

● Maintaining

Trailing net profit reached 82.0bn, fell 4.3bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower administrative expenses, better other profit, higher financial income, and lower selling expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher finance costs, lower gross profit, higher minority interests, and lower associates income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
29.73x
P/B
4.60x
EPS
912
BVPS
5,889
ROE
16.6%
ROA
1.6%
Market price
27,100
20 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, LIC shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. Notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Administrative expenses
  2. Other profit
  3. Financial income
  4. Selling expenses
  5. Finance costs
  6. Gross profit
  7. Minority interests
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue592.4440.0760.7613.1481.7426.41,045.6389.4
LNST10.4-22.246.773.611.7-21.871.342.1
Net margin1.76%-5.05%6.13%12.00%2.44%-5.12%6.82%10.81%

Revenue

592bn

Net income

10bn

Net margin

1.76%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 2.7% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+57% → +23%).

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
2,406bn
+2.7%
Latest quarter YoY
+23%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

●

Net margin stands at 4.51%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Net Margin
4.51%
+0.1pp
Gross Margin
10.49%
−1.5pp
SG&A / Revenue
7.20%
−2.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

High leverage combined with negative cash flow reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -443.3bn against investing cash flow of -146.7bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +590.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +504.6bn.

CFO / net income was −6,32 lần.

After spending +83.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −601.5bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Earnings Quality

●

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income makes up 11.0% of pre-tax profit — worth monitoring.

Within that, net financial result at +10.0%, other profit at +1.0% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
11.0%
moderate
Net financial / PBT
10.0%
Other profit / PBT
1.0%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of 4.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC narrowed to 4.05%, falling 1.2pp. That translates to 4.05 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.14x, while invested capital rose by 440bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 12.9 days, DSO fell 11.5 days, and DPO rose 2.3 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 119.2 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +12.9 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 4.5% +0.1pp
Asset turnover 0.46x -0.05x
Financial leverage 10.68x -0.47x
ROE 22.0% -3.1pp

ROE fell from 25.1% to 22.0% — asset turnover weakened the most.

03

Is financial risk significant?

High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 4.60x and interest coverage only at 0.93x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 73.7% of total debt, cash equals 11.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,741.1bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Net Debt / Equity
4.60x
+0.24x
Interest Coverage
0.93x
−0.47x
Cash / Debt
11.0%
−8.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
73.7%
+5.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 4.60x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.93x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Balance Sheet

▼▼

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles. Leverage is well above the construction contractors norm — liquidity risk becomes material if project acceptance slips — liabilities at 8.44x equity, net debt at 4.60x equity.

Owner advances stand at 469.9bn (as of 2026Q2) — the contractor is funded along the contract schedule, easing the pressure to self-finance working capital. Up 34.47% YoY — owner funding is thickening.

Owner advances: 469.9bn · YoY +120.4bn

Advances / receivables: 60.19% — funded vs stuck

The contractor's survival axis: site receivables 780.7bn vs equity 530.0bn — 147.28% of the capital base is sitting on job sites.

Receivables / equity: 147.28% · receivables YoY 10.60% · equity YoY 16.26%

DSO: 118 days

Sector note: contractor gross margins are THIN (10.49% TTM) by design — value lives in contract turnover and collection discipline, not margin. Do not compare with manufacturers.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 406.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at −6.32x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 4.0%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.93x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at −6.32x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.93x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +2,7% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 4.51% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its -443.3bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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