VCF

Vinacafé Biên Hòa ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 0.50x
Price
300,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 15.89x
P/B 6.38x
EPS 18,885
BVPS 46,992
ROE 30.7%
ROA 23.4%
Profit Margin 18.3%
Asset Turnover 1.28x
Equity Mult. 1.31x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VCF shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement widens in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,750bn
+0.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
18.25%
+0.6ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 502bn
+3.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 661.2 906.7 545.9 635.9 672.9 889.0 605.3 578.4 483.6 810.9 547.5 554.6
Growth -27% +66% -14% -5% -24% +47% +5% +20% -40% +48% -1%
Net Income 112.2 156.2 112.4 121.1 128.1 159.2 100.6 98.0 88.7 142.9 112.0 122.1
Net Margin 16.97% 17.23% 20.59% 19.04% 19.03% 17.90% 16.62% 16.94% 18.34% 17.62% 20.45% 22.01%

Drivers of VCF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 34.7bn
Selling expenses ↓ 6.2bn
Other profit ↑ 6.1bn
Financial income ↓ 22.7bn
Deferred tax ↑ 5.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 2.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 7.0bn
Financial income ↓ 16.8bn
Deferred tax ↑ 3.1bn
Gross profit ↓ 2.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 23.0% = 17.7% × 1.08 × 1.20
2026Q1 30.7% = 18.3% × 1.28 × 1.31

ROE rose from 23.0% to 30.7% — all three components improved, with asset turnover contributing the most.

Net margin: 18.3% +0.6pp Asset turnover: 1.28x +0.20x Leverage: 1.31x +0.11x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 18.25%, rising 0.6pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 1.2pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.2pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.9pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 18.25% +0.6pp
Gross Margin 21.39% +1.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.01% −0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 24.2 days — working capital needs watching.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 28.85%, rising 5.3pp. That translates to 28.85 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.4pp and capital turnover rose 0.26x, while invested capital contracted by 341bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

Capital efficiency improved through turnover — a positive sign for asset efficiency, but this momentum needs to hold as capital expands.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 28.85% +5.3pp
NOPAT Margin 18.15% +0.4pp
Capital Turnover 1.59x +0.26x
Average Invested Capital 1,729.5bn −341.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.43x equity, net debt at 0.14x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 373.0bn, roughly 23.0% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 232.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +12.1bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −227.2bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −17.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 24.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 26.1 days, DSO fell 0.3 days, and DPO rose 1.6 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +24.2 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +26.1 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 48.5 days −0.3 days
Inventory 72.9 days +26.1 days
Payables 35.9 days +1.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 85.5 days +24.2 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.14x and interest coverage at 55.81x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 10.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 193.5bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 10.6%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.14x +0.13x
Interest Coverage 55.81x −12.34x
Cash / Debt 10.6% −82.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 0.50x −0.28x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 449.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 953.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,402.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1,430.9bn.

CFO / net income was 0.50x.

After spending +191.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +57.8bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 249.7bn −127.8bn
Cash Capex 191.8bn +187.3bn
FCF TTM +57.8bn −315.1bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.50x. Warning and risk signals are not yet decisive enough to shift the picture.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.50x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,761.5 2,556.3 2,352.5 2,207.0 2,216.9
Cost of Goods Sold
2,170.8 2,054.6 1,837.9 1,713.2 0.0
Gross Profit
590.7 501.6 514.6 493.8 555.5
Financial Expenses
12.1 7.8 9.9 93.8 -5.6
Selling Expenses
4.4 11.5 8.1 12.0 -15.7
General and Administrative Expenses
22.0 22.2 22.3 31.2 -48.7
Operating Profit
643.6 560.3 564.6 400.0 548.4
Profit Before Tax
647.4 558.0 563.9 399.4 548.6
Net Income
517.8 446.4 450.0 319.1 428.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
517.8 446.4 450.0 319.1 428.8
Earnings per Share
19,482.00 16,797.00 16,929.00 12,006.00 16,134.00

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