ASM
Tập đoàn Sao Mai ·HOSE ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, ASM is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved — profit is at an all-time high. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,469.6 | 2,615.3 | 2,632.8 | 3,354.4 | 2,715.1 | 2,866.3 | 3,219.3 | 3,375.7 | 2,548.5 | 2,788.7 | 2,874.6 | 3,254.9 |
| Growth | -6% | -1% | -22% | +24% | -5% | -11% | -5% | +32% | -9% | -3% | -12% | — |
| Net Income | 120.1 | 31.5 | 34.9 | 39.3 | 37.9 | 0.5 | 71.2 | 104.6 | 75.6 | 16.5 | 66.4 | 105.7 |
| Net Margin | 4.86% | 1.21% | 1.33% | 1.17% | 1.40% | 0.02% | 2.21% | 3.10% | 2.96% | 0.59% | 2.31% | 3.25% |
Drivers of ASM's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to weaker other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 2.7% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 2.04%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 1.29%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 1.29 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 0.6pp, but capital turnover fell 0.10x, while invested capital rose by 1,694bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 1.29% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 1.86x equity, net debt at 1.57x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 4,824.6bn, roughly 20.6% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 548.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 41.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 29.1 days, DSO rose 17.4 days, and DPO rose 5.3 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 238.2 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +17.4 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.57x and interest coverage only at 0.46x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 53.6% of total debt, cash equals 4.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 13,696.8bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.57x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 0.46x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -328.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -860.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,189.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +169.3bn.
CFO / net income was -0.13x.
After spending +600.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −614.8bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 20.1%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 1.3%.
Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 227.9bn versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 20.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.13x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
11,317.5 | 12,013.1 | 11,973.2 | 13,749.2 | 11,397.7 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
9,948.0 | 10,635.7 | 10,632.2 | 11,803.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1,369.5 | 1,377.4 | 1,341.0 | 1,946.3 | 1,299.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
809.1 | 722.0 | 791.4 | 564.5 | -462.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
208.6 | 218.8 | 164.7 | 370.9 | -236.8 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
331.6 | 296.1 | 299.6 | 246.4 | -195.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
258.7 | 338.7 | 318.9 | 1,045.1 | 604.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
204.4 | 317.1 | 319.1 | 1,062.0 | 787.7 |
|
Net Income
|
136.8 | 251.0 | 251.7 | 962.6 | 705.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
37.7 | 180.9 | 195.0 | 628.4 | 601.8 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
100.00 | 517.00 | 580.00 | 1,883.00 | 2,325.00 |
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