NCG

Tập đoàn Nova Consumer ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Price
11,600
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 8.14x
P/B 0.64x
EPS 1,425
BVPS 18,241
ROE 8.0%
ROA 4.4%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Asset Turnover 1.21x
Equity Mult. 1.83x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NCG posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What remains unclear is which side will dominate in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 4,721bn
+7.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
4.26%
−0.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 201bn
+3.8%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,297.2 1,192.9 1,078.0 1,153.0 1,101.0 1,146.0 1,100.3 1,032.8 970.2 947.1 1,054.3 1,029.0
Growth +9% +11% -7% +5% -4% +4% +7% +6% +2% -10% +2%
Net Income 55.8 33.1 26.4 85.7 71.5 24.4 42.6 55.2 -20.7 -173.2 -43.5 -67.8
Net Margin 4.30% 2.77% 2.45% 7.43% 6.49% 2.13% 3.87% 5.34% -2.14% -18.29% -4.12% -6.59%

Drivers of NCG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 95.7bn
Financial income ↑ 19.6bn
Associates income ↑ 13.3bn
Other profit ↑ 3.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 70.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 43.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 17.2bn
Associates income ↑ 2.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 18.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 12.8bn
Minority interests ↑ 6.8bn
Tax ↑ 6.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 9.7% = 4.4% × 1.16 × 1.90
2026Q1 9.4% = 4.3% × 1.21 × 1.83

ROE is broadly flat at 9.4% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 4.3% -0.2pp Asset turnover: 1.21x +0.05x Leverage: 1.83x -0.07x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 4.26%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 4.26% −0.2pp
Gross Margin 16.34% +0.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 11.01% +1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 6.28%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 6.28 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp, but capital turnover rose 0.08x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.28% +0.0pp
NOPAT Margin 4.20% −0.2pp
Capital Turnover 1.50x +0.08x
Average Invested Capital 3,154.1bn +52.8bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.85x equity, net debt at 0.47x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 744.4bn, roughly 18.9% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 186.3bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +209.8bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −111.5bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +88.0bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 8.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 12.5 days, DSO rose 3.6 days, and DPO fell 0.2 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +3.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 57.2 days +3.6 days
Inventory 60.1 days −12.5 days
Payables 29.1 days −0.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 88.2 days −8.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and interest coverage at 2.29x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 9.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,143.8bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 9.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.47x −0.02x
Interest Coverage 2.29x +0.24x
Cash / Debt 9.7% +0.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% +5.5pp
CFO / NI 0.53x −0.34x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 230.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -6.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +224.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +64.4bn.

CFO / net income was 0.53x.

After spending +13.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +77.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 91.3bn −64.1bn
Cash Capex 13.8bn −1.9bn
FCF TTM +77.4bn −62.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.53x. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 2.29x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.53x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
4,524.9 4,248.9 4,141.8 4,880.4 865.6
Cost of Goods Sold
3,770.4 3,679.1 3,742.6 4,366.5 0.0
Gross Profit
754.5 569.8 399.2 513.9 76.5
Financial Expenses
103.2 110.1 170.7 114.0 -18.6
Selling Expenses
293.7 246.5 182.8 188.0 -41.9
General and Administrative Expenses
195.1 140.1 1,040.8 193.9 -129.1
Operating Profit
243.3 129.2 -910.3 312.2 173.3
Profit Before Tax
245.8 125.8 -948.1 355.1 169.8
Net Income
216.4 99.2 -950.9 273.6 164.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
193.0 82.9 -930.2 273.7 159.4
Earnings per Share
1,611.00 692.00 -7,766.00 2,225.00 0.00

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