NCG
Tập đoàn Nova Consumer ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NCG posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What remains unclear is which side will dominate in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,297.2 | 1,192.9 | 1,078.0 | 1,153.0 | 1,101.0 | 1,146.0 | 1,100.3 | 1,032.8 | 970.2 | 947.1 | 1,054.3 | 1,029.0 |
| Growth | +9% | +11% | -7% | +5% | -4% | +4% | +7% | +6% | +2% | -10% | +2% | — |
| Net Income | 55.8 | 33.1 | 26.4 | 85.7 | 71.5 | 24.4 | 42.6 | 55.2 | -20.7 | -173.2 | -43.5 | -67.8 |
| Net Margin | 4.30% | 2.77% | 2.45% | 7.43% | 6.49% | 2.13% | 3.87% | 5.34% | -2.14% | -18.29% | -4.12% | -6.59% |
Drivers of NCG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 9.4% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 4.26%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 6.28%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 6.28 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp, but capital turnover rose 0.08x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.85x equity, net debt at 0.47x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 744.4bn, roughly 18.9% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 186.3bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 8.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 12.5 days, DSO rose 3.6 days, and DPO fell 0.2 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +3.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and interest coverage at 2.29x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 9.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,143.8bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 9.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 230.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -6.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +224.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +64.4bn.
CFO / net income was 0.53x.
After spending +13.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +77.4bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.53x. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 2.29x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.53x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and a thin cash buffer.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
4,524.9 | 4,248.9 | 4,141.8 | 4,880.4 | 865.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
3,770.4 | 3,679.1 | 3,742.6 | 4,366.5 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
754.5 | 569.8 | 399.2 | 513.9 | 76.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
103.2 | 110.1 | 170.7 | 114.0 | -18.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
293.7 | 246.5 | 182.8 | 188.0 | -41.9 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
195.1 | 140.1 | 1,040.8 | 193.9 | -129.1 |
|
Operating Profit
|
243.3 | 129.2 | -910.3 | 312.2 | 173.3 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
245.8 | 125.8 | -948.1 | 355.1 | 169.8 |
|
Net Income
|
216.4 | 99.2 | -950.9 | 273.6 | 164.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
193.0 | 82.9 | -930.2 | 273.7 | 159.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,611.00 | 692.00 | -7,766.00 | 2,225.00 | 0.00 |
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