BMV

Bột mỳ Vinafood 1 ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Cash generation is recovering CFO/NPAT 27 bn, +74 bn YoY
Price
4,600
Latest close
20 May 2026
P/E 27.99x
P/B 0.45x
EPS 164
BVPS 10,336
ROE 1.6%
ROA 0.8%
Profit Margin 0.6%
Asset Turnover 1.27x
Equity Mult. 2.05x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BMV is showing some signs of improvement versus the same period, but the current picture is not yet broad enough to confirm a stronger trend — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, making the picture not entirely clear.

TTM REVENUE
VND 647bn
+0.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.61%
+0.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 4bn
+53.2%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
47.4%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 160.0 171.8 162.0 153.0 147.5 183.8 164.4 145.5 156.2 167.8 175.5 151.9
Growth -7% +6% +6% +4% -20% +12% +13% -7% -7% -4% +16%
Net Income 1.2 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 -0.5 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 1.4
Net Margin 0.78% 0.42% 0.60% 0.67% 0.69% 0.61% -0.32% 0.68% 0.04% 0.40% 0.00% 0.93%

Drivers of BMV's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 4.6bn
Tax ↓ 1.9bn
Financial income ↑ 1.5bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 3.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 5.0bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 2.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.2bn
Other profit ↓ 0.1bn
Tax ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 1.0% = 0.4% × 1.35 × 1.92
2026Q1 1.6% = 0.6% × 1.27 × 2.05

ROE rose from 1.0% to 1.6% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 0.6% +0.2pp Asset turnover: 1.27x -0.08x Leverage: 2.05x +0.13x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins improved (+0.2pp), but earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources — warrants closer scrutiny.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.61%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.61% +0.2pp
Gross Margin 6.82% +0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.45% +0.9pp
Non-core / Revenue 0.40% +0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Margin support from financial result remains high (51.4% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 0.92%, rising 0.4pp. That translates to 0.92 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 0.92% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 0.92% +0.4pp
NOPAT Margin 0.59% +0.3pp
Capital Turnover 1.56x −0.03x
Average Invested Capital 413.7bn +10.8bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.72x equity, net debt at 0.63x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 92.8bn, roughly 21.7% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 29.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +88.6bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −2.7bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −56.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 0.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.1 days, DSO rose 5.1 days, and DPO rose 5.5 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 97.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +5.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 52.5 days +5.1 days
Inventory 79.0 days +1.1 days
Payables 34.3 days +5.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 97.1 days +0.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.63x and interest coverage only at 0.67x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 17.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 189.1bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.67x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.63x −0.07x
Interest Coverage 0.67x +0.14x
Cash / Debt 17.0% +8.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 8.72x +23.26x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 34.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 70.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +104.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +43.4bn.

CFO / net income was 8.72x.

After spending +7.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +27.2bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 34.7bn +72.4bn
Cash Capex 7.4bn −1.8bn
FCF TTM +27.2bn +74.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is cash generation. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 0.9%.

Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 74.3bn versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 8.72x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 47.4% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
634.4 649.8 667.8 833.7 773.4
Cost of Goods Sold
595.2 612.1 629.9 800.1 0.0
Gross Profit
39.2 37.7 37.9 33.6 41.7
Financial Expenses
7.6 7.8 8.4 7.7 -1.9
Selling Expenses
16.7 15.5 15.8 13.0 -15.1
General and Administrative Expenses
20.1 18.0 17.4 15.1 -21.7
Operating Profit
4.5 3.7 1.9 2.2 5.1
Profit Before Tax
4.7 4.3 3.4 3.0 5.6
Net Income
3.7 2.0 3.4 1.5 4.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
3.7 2.0 3.4 1.5 4.5
Earnings per Share
152.00 81.00 142.00 63.00 184.05

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