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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 4/2026

KTS

Đường Kon Tum

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 4/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 5.6bn, fell 28.5bn compared with the same period last year. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
18.82x
P/B
0.41x
EPS
1,100
BVPS
50,768
ROE
2.2%
ROA
1.0%
Market price
20,700
15 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q4 basis, KTS is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 4/2026

MetricQ4'26Q3'26Q2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25
Revenue310.1101.4109.259.5100.964.2118.857.1
LNST1.50.90.72.53.711.114.84.5
Net margin0.49%0.84%0.65%4.19%3.64%17.35%12.47%7.83%

Revenue

310bn

Net income

2bn

Net margin

0.49%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

Revenue Growth

▲▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 70.1% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from +4% to +207%.

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
580bn
+70.1%
Latest quarter YoY
+207%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin fell to 0.96%, losing 9.0pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 12.6pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.8pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.5pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
0.96%
−9.0pp
Gross Margin
7.60%
−12.6pp
SG&A / Revenue
3.01%
−1.8pp
Non-core / Revenue
−3.56%
+1.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q4 -> 2026Q4

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 46.6% of PBT and lifted net margin by 1.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Cash Flow

▲▲

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 4.9bn against investing cash flow of -4.0bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +0.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +8.7bn.

CFO / net income was 42,56 lần.

After spending +0.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +236.5bn.

Earnings Quality

▼

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income reaches 46.6% of pre-tax profit — core earnings are thinner than the headline.

Within that, net financial result at −299.2%, other profit at +46.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
46.6%
high
Net financial / PBT
−299.2%
Other profit / PBT
46.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼▼

ROIC fell to 1.66%, losing 5.9pp. That translates to 1.66 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 9.2pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 1.66% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 137.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 154.6 days, DSO rose 30.7 days, and DPO rose 13.9 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 174.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +30.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 1.0% -9.0pp
Asset turnover 1.00x +0.34x
Financial leverage 2.27x +0.12x
ROE 2.2% -11.9pp

ROE fell from 14.1% to 2.2% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.91x and interest coverage only at 0.45x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 92.1% of total debt, cash equals 2.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 238.1bn.

Net Debt / Equity
0.91x
−0.02x
Interest Coverage
0.45x
−1.53x
Cash / Debt
2.2%
−2.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
92.1%
−1.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q4 -> 2026Q4

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.45x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 92.1% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Balance Sheet

●

The balance sheet shows capital-allocation efficiency slipping. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.36x equity, net debt at 0.91x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 91.2bn, roughly 15.0% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is −299.2%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 9.0 pp.

  • Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 238.5bn versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 42.56x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for −299.2% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 96.01% after a 9.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +70,1% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 0.96% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 4.9bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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