TFC

Trang ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 14.42%, −3.95pp YoY
Price
49,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 5.51x
P/B 1.53x
EPS 8,891
BVPS 31,963
ROE 31.0%
ROA 16.6%
Profit Margin 14.4%
Asset Turnover 1.15x
Equity Mult. 1.87x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TFC is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit is at an all-time high. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,039bn
+1.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
14.42%
−4.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 150bn
−20.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 224.8 195.7 388.6 230.0 213.0 222.9 398.6 192.5 93.8 167.4 335.4 169.2
Growth +15% -50% +69% +8% -4% -44% +107% +105% -44% -50% +98%
Net Income 18.6 31.0 69.3 30.9 39.2 40.3 81.8 27.3 3.3 12.4 45.1 -1.3
Net Margin 8.27% 15.82% 17.83% 13.45% 18.39% 18.09% 20.53% 14.19% 3.51% 7.41% 13.44% -0.79%

Drivers of TFC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 10.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 9.8bn
Other profit ↑ 6.4bn
Gross profit ↓ 41.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 10.7bn
Selling expenses ↑ 7.8bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 22.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 55.6% = 18.4% × 1.39 × 2.18
2026Q1 31.1% = 14.4% × 1.15 × 1.87

ROE fell from 55.6% to 31.1% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.

Net margin: 14.4% -4.0pp Asset turnover: 1.15x -0.24x Leverage: 1.87x -0.30x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 14.42%, losing 4.0pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 4.4pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.7pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.5pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 14.42% −4.0pp
Gross Margin 24.67% −4.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 11.42% +1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 23.81%, losing 11.7pp. That translates to 23.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 4.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.22x, while invested capital rose by 76bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 23.81% −11.7pp
NOPAT Margin 13.97% −4.5pp
Capital Turnover 1.71x −0.22x
Average Invested Capital 609.4bn +75.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.97x equity, net debt at 0.21x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 190.1bn, roughly 18.6% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 61.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −21.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −13.2bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −27.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 14.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.5 days, DSO rose 12.0 days, and DPO fell 4.9 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 104.3 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +12.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 74.2 days +12.0 days
Inventory 66.8 days −2.5 days
Payables 36.6 days −4.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 104.3 days +14.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.21x and interest coverage at 8.17x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, cash equals 63.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 300.6bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.21x −0.13x
Interest Coverage 8.17x +0.74x
Cash / Debt 63.2% +10.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.3% +1.8pp
CFO / NI 0.34x −0.38x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 94.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -13.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +80.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +35.9bn.

CFO / net income was 0.34x.

After spending +8.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +42.3bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 50.5bn −84.4bn
Cash Capex 8.2bn −0.6bn
FCF TTM +42.3bn −83.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.34x. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 4.0 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.34x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 14.42% after a 4.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,027.3 904.1 782.3 850.1 671.6
Cost of Goods Sold
748.9 643.2 648.4 741.0 0.0
Gross Profit
278.5 261.0 133.9 109.2 40.3
Financial Expenses
21.2 31.3 33.6 29.7 -16.4
Selling Expenses
42.1 27.6 26.1 31.2 -22.7
General and Administrative Expenses
62.8 61.0 42.6 35.6 -34.4
Operating Profit
201.8 189.6 58.4 31.7 -23.7
Profit Before Tax
198.7 188.3 58.3 32.0 -23.7
Net Income
169.9 161.5 52.1 29.7 -23.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
169.9 161.5 52.3 29.1 -23.7
Earnings per Share
9,888.00 9,563.00 3,076.00 1,698.00 -1,436.00

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