Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026
▼▼ Declining sharply
Trailing net profit reached 31.9bn, fell 195.0bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:
See what is changing ↓- P/E
- -7.86x
- P/B
- 0.25x
- EPS
- -336
- BVPS
- 10,546
- ROE
- -3.1%
- ROA
- -1.6%
- Market price
- 2,640 16 Oct 2026
The current picture
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, VPH is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.
Profit bridge
Vs last year · TTM
- Finance costs
- Other
- Financial income
Across periods
A single data point, or a trajectory?
Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026
| Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 15.5 | 35.4 | 53.2 | 38.6 | 33.7 | 9.2 | 12.3 | 18.4 |
| LNST | -12.0 | -9.4 | -0.3 | -10.2 | -0.1 | -9.2 | -10.9 | 183.3 |
| Net margin | -77.20% | -26.65% | -0.65% | -26.36% | -0.36% | -100.44% | -88.90% | 998.02% |
Revenue
16bnNet income
-12bnNet margin
-77.20%Inside the statements
A closer look at what is happening inside the business
A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
Revenue Growth
▲Is growth real and durable?
Trailing-12-month revenue grew 94.0% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+110% → −54%).
3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.
- Revenue TTM
- 143bn +94.0%
- Latest quarter YoY
- −54% slowing
What is driving the margin?
▼▼Net margin fell to −22.38%, losing 244.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 11.5pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 89.4pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 363.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.3pp).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.
2025Q1: 9.2bn
2025Q2: 33.7bn
2025Q3: 38.6bn
2025Q4: 53.2bn
2026Q1: 35.4bn
2026Q2: 15.5bn
- Net Margin
- −22.38% −244.2pp
- Gross Margin
- 8.12% −11.5pp
- SG&A / Revenue
- 24.84% −89.4pp
- Non-core / Revenue
- −4.95% −363.4pp
TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2
Even though contribution decreased by 363.4pp, financial result still accounts for 48.4% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Cash Flow
▲Is profit converting into cash?
Operating cash flow reached -430.5bn against investing cash flow of 188.8bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).
Post-investment cash flow was negative +241.7bn. Financing cash flow was positive +91.9bn.
CFO / net income was 5,33 lần.
After spending +3.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −173.3bn.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Earnings Quality
▼How much income is non-core?
Non-core income reaches 48.4% of pre-tax profit — core earnings are thinner than the headline.
Within that, net financial result at +35.4%, other profit at +13.0% of PBT.
- Non-core / PBT
- 48.4% high
- Net financial / PBT
- 35.4%
- Other profit / PBT
- 13.0%
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of −2.2% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
▼ROIC fell to −2.23%, losing 13.6pp. That translates to −2.23 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 282.4pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital easing slightly by 94bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
DuPont
What drives ROE?
ROE fell from 15.8% to −3.1% — dragged by net margin and leverage.
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 173.3bn due to capex of 3.2bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
▼Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.63x and interest coverage only at −0.94x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 5.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 663.6bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
- Net Debt / Equity
- 0.63x +0.24x
- Interest Coverage
- −0.94x −2.58x
- Cash / Debt
- 5.3% −4.4pp
- Short-term Debt / Total Debt
- 100.0% 0.0pp
TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2
Interest coverage is −0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Balance Sheet
●ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.91x equity, net debt at 0.63x equity.
Customer advances 139.2bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters.
Customer advances: 139.2bn · YoY −6.4bn · QoQ +1.9bn
Locked-in revenue: ~3.90x quarters of revenue (TTM)
Inventory pre-sold: 605.44%
Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 23.0bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 0.3bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.
Near-delivery (ST): 23.0bn (98.73%)
Construction-in-progress (LT): 0.3bn (1.27%)
For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 628.8bn vs project value 23.3bn — ratio 2700.47% — net debt is 27.00x the project pipeline, far beyond the asset layer that should back it. Leverage sits in high-risk territory; repayment depends on sources outside the current pipeline.
Net debt / project value: 2700.47%
None
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 112.3bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
In summary
Research synthesis
What this reporting period is showing
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 244.2 pp.
- Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 5.33x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 35.4% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
- Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -22.38% after a 244.2pp decline versus the same period last year.
What to verify next
Questions for the next period
Whether revenue sustains its +94,0% YoY pace or begins to slow.
Whether margins hold around the current -22.38% level or narrow again.
Whether operating cash flow holds its -430.5bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.
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