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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

VPI

Phát triển Bất động sản Văn Phú

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲ Slightly positive

Trailing net profit reached 401.9bn, rose 40.5bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and better other profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income, higher finance costs, higher selling expenses, and higher administrative expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
40.00x
P/B
2.80x
EPS
1,255
BVPS
17,897
ROE
7.3%
ROA
2.8%
Market price
50,200
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, VPI is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. The direction is leaning toward improvement, but the next test will be whether the magnitude widens enough to become a trend.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Other profit
  3. Financial income
  4. Finance costs
  5. Selling expenses
  6. Administrative expenses
  7. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue849.5287.41,180.4395.6180.2248.7749.9854.6
LNST170.726.5132.0119.06.7142.2101.2110.0
Net margin20.09%9.22%11.19%30.09%3.69%57.17%13.50%12.87%

Revenue

849bn

Net income

171bn

Net margin

20.09%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▲▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 33.4% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from −54% to +371%.

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
2,713bn
+33.4%
Latest quarter YoY
+371%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin narrowed to 16.52%, falling 1.2pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 5.1pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 22.7pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 14.4pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2025Q1: 248.7bn

2025Q2: 180.2bn

2025Q3: 395.6bn

2025Q4: 1,180.4bn

2026Q1: 287.4bn

2026Q2: 849.5bn

Net Margin
16.52%
−1.2pp
Gross Margin
39.93%
+22.7pp
SG&A / Revenue
13.90%
+5.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 156.8bn against investing cash flow of -806.4bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +649.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +858.2bn.

CFO / net income was −0,15 lần.

After spending +119.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −179.5bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 98% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −22.2%, other profit at +1.7% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
1.7%
low
Net financial / PBT
−22.2%
Other profit / PBT
1.7%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 3.7% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

ROIC stands at 3.66%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 3.66 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 1.7pp, but capital turnover broadly stable, while invested capital rose by 1,440bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 16.5% -1.2pp
Asset turnover 0.19x +0.02x
Financial leverage 2.65x -0.04x
ROE 8.2% +0.4pp

ROE is broadly flat at 8.2% — the components are offsetting one another.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 179.5bn due to capex of 119.5bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.25x and interest coverage only at 2.77x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 31.4% of total debt, cash equals 3.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 7,398.8bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
1.25x
+0.10x
Interest Coverage
2.77x
−3.78x
Cash / Debt
3.6%
+0.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
31.4%
−0.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.25x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 3.6%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.69x equity, net debt at 1.25x equity.

Customer advances 526.3bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 195.57% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue. Advances cover only 7.97% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 526.3bn · YoY +348.2bn · QoQ −545.7bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.78x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 7.97%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 6,600.4bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 552.7bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 6,600.4bn (92.27%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 552.7bn (7.73%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 7,133.9bn vs project value 7,153.0bn — ratio 99.73%; the project pipeline backs net debt 1.00x over.

Net debt / project value: 99.73%

Development inventory ended the period at 5,245.3bn, about 35.6% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 665.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at −0.15x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 3.7%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 2.77x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at −0.15x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 1.25x and a thin cash buffer.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +33,4% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 16.52% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 156.8bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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