HQC
Tư vấn Thương mại Dịch vụ Địa Ốc Hoàng Quân ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Slightly positive
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HQC posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.2 | 18.5 | 20.1 | -10.8 | 48.9 | 54.9 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 13.4 | 63.9 | 83.7 | 103.2 |
| Growth | -72% | -8% | -286% | -122% | -11% | +523% | +75% | -62% | -79% | -24% | -19% | — |
| Net Income | 5.4 | 55.1 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Net Margin | 103.43% | 298.13% | 43.52% | -45.22% | 10.55% | 10.83% | 126.87% | 210.69% | 39.24% | 2.48% | 1.43% | 1.21% |
Drivers of HQC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 0.6% to 1.4% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 224.79%, rising 196.8pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 41.9pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 111.3pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 200.8pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 100.5pp).
Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Other income accounts for 111.6% of PBT and lifted net margin by 301.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 0.3% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 0.26%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 0.26 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 34.8pp, but capital turnover broadly stable, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.64x equity, net debt at 0.20x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 1,471.2bn, about 16.4% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 62.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.20x and interest coverage only at 0.27x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 65.7% of total debt, cash equals 2.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,140.7bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.27x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 65.7% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -129.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 635.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +506.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +512.5bn.
CFO / net income was -0.62x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 196.8 pp. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.27x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 224.79% after expanding 196.8pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 35.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.62x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.27x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
69.5 | -66.6 | 292.6 | 275.9 | 279.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
55.8 | -157.4 | 240.8 | 200.5 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
13.7 | 90.9 | 51.8 | 75.4 | 72.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
95.8 | 117.7 | 4.8 | 17.0 | -34.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
6.1 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 21.1 | -15.7 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
-2.4 | 45.3 | 29.7 | 35.3 | -31.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
37.6 | 23.8 | 14.7 | 23.1 | 8.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
90.9 | 41.8 | 6.2 | 26.5 | 7.4 |
|
Net Income
|
70.2 | 33.8 | 5.2 | 18.8 | 4.2 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
70.2 | 33.7 | 5.2 | 18.8 | 4.2 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
122.00 | 58.00 | 11.00 | 39.00 | 8.74 |
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