PPI
Đầu tư và Phát triển Dự án Hạ tầng Thái Bình Dương ·UPCOM ·2023Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2023Q1 basis, PPI is under pressure on both revenue and margins simultaneously — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'23 | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | Q2'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 113.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6.8 | 0.8 |
| Growth | — | — | — | — | -100% | -100% | +592144% | +335% | -77% | -100% | -922% | — |
| Net Income | -0.5 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -22.5 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -40.1 | -19.0 | -63.6 |
| Net Margin | — | — | — | — | — | -58979.67% | -0.26% | -4388.15% | -16733.88% | -209851.73% | 279.27% | -7685.48% |
Drivers of PPI's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are broadly flat — earnings quality is the factor to watch.
What is driving the margin?
Track net margin changes and the operating components against the same period last year.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q1 -> 2023Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.1% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 2.11%, losing 44.6pp. That translates to 2.11 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. ROIC is under pressure as NOPAT margin was not available and capital turnover was not available have not provided enough support.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2022Q1 -> 2023Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at -1.99x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.19x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 15.3bn, about 10.8% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 6.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2022Q1 -> 2023Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 5.9bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 27.6bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 1.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q1 -> 2023Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 5.9bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +5.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +5.9bn.
CFO / net income was -1.31x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +4.0bn.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2022Q1 -> 2023Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.19x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 22.1%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.01x.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.19x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 22.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -1.31x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.01x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
0.0 | 113.1 | -6.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
0.0 | -22.1 | -111.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.0 | -0.2 | -6.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
2.5 | -2.1 | -6.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-2.5 | -24.4 | -124.3 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-3.4 | -24.4 | -123.6 |
|
Net Income
|
-3.4 | -24.4 | -123.6 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-3.4 | -24.4 | -123.6 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-69.90 | -504.89 | -2,559.55 |
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