HPX
Đầu tư Hải Phát ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Showing improvement
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HPX posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 120.4 | 428.8 | 126.6 | 488.7 | 98.7 | 532.0 | 428.7 | 331.4 | 323.8 | 502.6 | 301.1 | 746.6 |
| Growth | -72% | +239% | -74% | +395% | -81% | +24% | +29% | +2% | -36% | +67% | -60% | — |
| Net Income | 8.9 | 69.7 | 5.7 | 35.5 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 11.9 | 31.4 | 15.8 | 72.8 | 4.3 | 83.3 |
| Net Margin | 7.39% | 16.25% | 4.49% | 7.26% | 15.19% | 1.07% | 2.79% | 9.48% | 4.87% | 14.49% | 1.44% | 11.16% |
Drivers of HPX's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 1.8% to 3.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 10.28%, rising 5.7pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 8.7pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 7.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 8.4pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 2.3pp remained a drag).
Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.5% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC edged up to 2.50%, rising 1.5pp. That translates to 2.50 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 7.1pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital easing slightly by 400bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.39x equity, net debt at 0.44x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 2,404.5bn, about 28.4% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 400.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.44x and interest coverage only at 1.24x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 62.4% of total debt, cash equals 16.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,886.2bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 1.24x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 62.4% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -454.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 318.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +136.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +447.0bn.
CFO / net income was -3.80x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 5.7 pp. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 32.1%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 1.24x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 10.28% after expanding 5.7pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 1.24x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,142.7 | 1,615.7 | 1,680.3 | 1,210.4 | 1,392.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
796.4 | 1,097.1 | 1,392.2 | 957.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
346.4 | 518.6 | 288.1 | 253.1 | 353.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
175.2 | 273.4 | 167.1 | 352.3 | -246.9 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2.3 | 109.1 | 136.2 | 9.3 | -23.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
61.4 | 102.3 | 55.1 | 77.8 | -135.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
201.4 | 95.3 | 183.0 | -28.1 | 405.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
183.7 | 107.4 | 189.0 | -12.6 | 416.6 |
|
Net Income
|
124.9 | 61.5 | 134.9 | -58.4 | 328.2 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
121.3 | 57.4 | 127.3 | -60.4 | 289.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
388.00 | 186.00 | 419.00 | -199.00 | 386.00 |
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