HPX

Đầu tư Hải Phát ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Operating efficiency is improving Net margin 10.28%, +5.68pp YoY
Price
4,400
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 11.54x
P/B 0.38x
EPS 381
BVPS 11,709
ROE 3.2%
ROA 1.4%
Profit Margin 10.0%
Asset Turnover 0.14x
Equity Mult. 2.27x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HPX posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,164bn
−16.3%YoY
NET MARGIN
10.28%
+5.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 120bn
+87.0%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-3.80x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 120.4 428.8 126.6 488.7 98.7 532.0 428.7 331.4 323.8 502.6 301.1 746.6
Growth -72% +239% -74% +395% -81% +24% +29% +2% -36% +67% -60%
Net Income 8.9 69.7 5.7 35.5 15.0 5.7 11.9 31.4 15.8 72.8 4.3 83.3
Net Margin 7.39% 16.25% 4.49% 7.26% 15.19% 1.07% 2.79% 9.48% 4.87% 14.49% 1.44% 11.16%

Drivers of HPX's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 108.1bn
Selling expenses ↓ 94.6bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 38.9bn
Financial income ↑ 21.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 168.0bn
Other profit ↓ 28.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 17.9bn
Tax ↓ 1.9bn
Gross profit ↓ 17.8bn
Financial income ↓ 4.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.1bn
Other profit ↓ 1.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 1.8% = 4.6% × 0.17 × 2.29
2026Q1 3.3% = 10.3% × 0.14 × 2.27

ROE rose from 1.8% to 3.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 10.3% +5.7pp Asset turnover: 0.14x -0.02x Leverage: 2.27x -0.02x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin expanded to 10.28%, rising 5.7pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 8.7pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 7.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 8.4pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 2.3pp remained a drag).

Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 10.28% +5.7pp
Gross Margin 28.21% −7.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 5.67% −8.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.5% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 2.50%, rising 1.5pp. That translates to 2.50 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 7.1pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital easing slightly by 400bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.50% +1.5pp
NOPAT Margin 11.39% +7.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.22x −0.02x
Average Invested Capital 5,299.0bn −400.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.39x equity, net debt at 0.44x equity.

Development inventory ended the period at 2,404.5bn, about 28.4% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 400.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −2,109.7bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +326.7bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +1,382.5bn

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.44x and interest coverage only at 1.24x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 62.4% of total debt, cash equals 16.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,886.2bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.24x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 62.4% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.44x −0.06x
Interest Coverage 1.24x +0.86x
Cash / Debt 16.9% +13.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 62.4% −31.5pp
CFO / NI -3.80x −7.75x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -454.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 318.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +136.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +447.0bn.

CFO / net income was -3.80x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 443.9bn −674.6bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 5.7 pp. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 32.1%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 1.24x.

Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 10.28% after expanding 5.7pp versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 1.24x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,142.7 1,615.7 1,680.3 1,210.4 1,392.8
Cost of Goods Sold
796.4 1,097.1 1,392.2 957.2 0.0
Gross Profit
346.4 518.6 288.1 253.1 353.2
Financial Expenses
175.2 273.4 167.1 352.3 -246.9
Selling Expenses
2.3 109.1 136.2 9.3 -23.2
General and Administrative Expenses
61.4 102.3 55.1 77.8 -135.3
Operating Profit
201.4 95.3 183.0 -28.1 405.9
Profit Before Tax
183.7 107.4 189.0 -12.6 416.6
Net Income
124.9 61.5 134.9 -58.4 328.2
Profit Attributable to Parent
121.3 57.4 127.3 -60.4 289.3
Earnings per Share
388.00 186.00 419.00 -199.00 386.00

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