CCL

Đầu tư và Phát triển Đô thị Dầu khí Cửu Long ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 7.03%, −7.85pp YoY
Price
4,300
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 11.79x
P/B 0.35x
EPS 365
BVPS 12,218
ROE 3.0%
ROA 1.8%
Profit Margin 7.0%
Asset Turnover 0.26x
Equity Mult. 1.64x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CCL is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 309bn
+7.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
7.03%
−7.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 22bn
−49.0%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-1.56x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 69.3 28.4 79.4 131.9 67.3 51.3 79.0 88.7 82.5 78.6 99.9 60.2
Growth +144% -64% -40% +96% +31% -35% -11% +8% +5% -21% +66%
Net Income 8.2 -5.9 7.2 12.2 13.9 3.0 13.3 12.5 13.8 9.4 23.5 11.9
Net Margin 11.85% -20.94% 9.11% 9.27% 20.68% 5.83% 16.77% 14.03% 16.68% 12.00% 23.50% 19.69%

Drivers of CCL's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 4.1bn
Gross profit ↓ 34.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 5.5bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 6.1% = 14.9% × 0.25 × 1.65
2026Q1 3.0% = 7.0% × 0.26 × 1.64

ROE fell from 6.1% to 3.0% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 7.0% -7.9pp Asset turnover: 0.26x +0.01x Leverage: 1.64x -0.00x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 7.03%, losing 7.9pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 13.9pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.4pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.4pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.5pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 7.03% −7.9pp
Gross Margin 22.68% −13.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 2.95% −1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 0.29x +0.01x
Average Invested Capital 1,062.5bn +48.3bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.65x equity, net debt at 0.52x equity.

Development inventory ended the period at 327.7bn, about 27.5% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.52x and interest coverage only at 0.98x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 38.4% of total debt, cash equals 3.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 392.4bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.98x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 3.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.52x +0.09x
Interest Coverage 0.98x −0.63x
Cash / Debt 3.0% +0.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 38.4% −13.5pp
CFO / NI -1.56x −1.27x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -37.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -34.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +71.3bn. Financing cash flow was positive +70.2bn.

CFO / net income was -1.56x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 33.9bn −21.7bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.9 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 7.03% after a 7.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
306.9 301.5 316.6 516.2 974.0
Cost of Goods Sold
231.3 195.9 196.4 389.7 0.0
Gross Profit
75.6 105.6 120.2 126.5 183.6
Financial Expenses
29.8 35.6 33.7 30.5 -27.2
Selling Expenses
1.2 6.2 13.2 21.5 -55.1
General and Administrative Expenses
7.6 7.7 8.4 13.3 -8.9
Operating Profit
38.5 56.6 70.9 69.2 98.8
Profit Before Tax
36.1 53.5 71.0 70.5 98.1
Net Income
28.4 42.4 57.7 56.1 78.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
28.4 42.4 57.7 56.1 78.0
Earnings per Share
429.00 640.00 968.38 1,014.00 916.00

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