TNW

Nước sạch Thái Nguyên ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲▲ Improving positively

Operating efficiency is improving Net margin 8.78%, +9.57pp YoY
Price
12,500
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 9.01x
P/B 0.88x
EPS 1,387
BVPS 14,212
ROE 10.2%
ROA 2.7%
Profit Margin 8.8%
Asset Turnover 0.30x
Equity Mult. 3.81x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TNW has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

TTM REVENUE
VND 253bn
+9.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
8.78%
+9.6ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 22bn
+1321.8%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 59.1 65.4 63.6 64.6 54.8 60.7 58.8 57.3 53.3 57.2 57.2 57.7
Growth -10% +3% -2% +18% -10% +3% +3% +7% -7% +0% -1%
Net Income 8.0 8.0 6.0 0.2 4.4 0.7 7.7 -14.6 1.0 -8.3 3.1 1.4
Net Margin 13.52% 12.23% 9.43% 0.32% 8.07% 1.11% 13.07% -25.46% 1.91% -14.60% 5.41% 2.45%

Drivers of TNW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 18.8bn
Finance costs ↓ 11.5bn
Financial income ↑ 2.5bn
Tax ↑ 6.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 4.6bn
Financial income ↑ 0.5bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.4bn
Tax ↑ 0.9bn
Other profit ↓ 0.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 -0.9% = -0.8% × 0.27 × 3.97
2026Q1 10.2% = 8.8% × 0.30 × 3.81

ROE rose from -0.9% to 10.2% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 8.8% +9.6pp Asset turnover: 0.30x +0.03x Leverage: 3.81x -0.16x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin expanded to 8.78%, rising 9.6pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 4.0pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 1.3pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 7.5pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.4pp remained a drag).

Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 8.78% +9.6pp
Gross Margin 45.32% +4.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 18.05% −1.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 3.4% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 3.36%, rising 3.3pp. That translates to 3.36 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 8.6pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 3.36% +3.3pp
NOPAT Margin 8.84% +8.6pp
Capital Turnover 0.38x +0.04x
Average Invested Capital 664.0bn −16.7bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.76x equity, net debt at 1.93x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 36.9bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +6.0bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −3.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +34.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 14.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 6.6 days, DSO fell 0.1 days, and DPO fell 7.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +14.0 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +6.6 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 41.6 days −0.1 days
Inventory 48.9 days +6.6 days
Payables 207.0 days −7.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -116.6 days +14.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.93x and interest coverage only at 0.71x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 7.6% of total debt, cash equals 4.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 460.3bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.93x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.71x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.93x −0.26x
Interest Coverage 0.71x +0.74x
Cash / Debt 4.6% −1.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 7.6% +0.7pp
CFO / NI 5.05x +42.82x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 82.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -16.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +66.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +37.8bn.

CFO / net income was 5.05x.

After spending +7.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +104.3bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 112.0bn +43.4bn
Cash Capex 7.7bn −1.9bn
FCF TTM +104.3bn +45.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 9.6 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 3.4%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.71x.

Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 8.78% after expanding 9.6pp versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.71x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
248.3 230.1 221.6 188.1 196.2
Cost of Goods Sold
138.4 136.9 130.4 72.0 0.0
Gross Profit
109.8 93.2 91.2 116.2 105.4
Financial Expenses
41.3 54.3 49.9 26.4 -13.3
Selling Expenses
20.9 20.7 20.3 67.0 -70.5
General and Administrative Expenses
24.5 23.9 25.0 13.5 -10.6
Operating Profit
24.5 -4.4 -3.4 11.2 12.9
Profit Before Tax
25.0 -4.4 -3.4 11.1 12.9
Net Income
18.5 -4.6 -6.2 7.5 9.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
18.5 -4.6 -6.2 7.5 9.5
Earnings per Share
1,154.00 -286.00 -388.00 440.00 592.00

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