TDM

Nước Thủ Dầu Một ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 38.89%, −17.43pp YoY
Price
59,900
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 38.42x
P/B 2.47x
EPS 1,559
BVPS 24,215
ROE 7.3%
ROA 5.7%
Profit Margin 38.9%
Asset Turnover 0.15x
Equity Mult. 1.27x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TDM is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 484bn
−10.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
38.89%
−17.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 188bn
−37.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
42.5%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 78.3 242.2 64.0 99.9 100.0 144.6 106.4 187.2 106.2 191.7 106.8 133.0
Growth -68% +279% -36% -0% -31% +36% -43% +76% -45% +79% -20%
Net Income 122.3 10.4 3.1 52.6 143.8 57.6 57.4 44.4 37.5 43.5 56.6 55.2
Net Margin 156.11% 4.28% 4.91% 52.66% 143.74% 39.82% 53.92% 23.71% 35.33% 22.68% 52.99% 41.53%

Drivers of TDM's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 19.1bn
Tax ↓ 14.1bn
Gross profit ↓ 130.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 15.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 2.9bn
Tax ↓ 2.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 16.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 10.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 12.5% = 56.3% × 0.17 × 1.27
2026Q1 7.3% = 38.9% × 0.15 × 1.27

ROE fell from 12.5% to 7.3% — all three components weakened, with net margin being the main drag.

Net margin: 38.9% -17.4pp Asset turnover: 0.15x -0.03x Leverage: 1.27x -0.00x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 38.89%, losing 17.4pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 21.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.7pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.5pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 38.89% −17.4pp
Gross Margin 26.53% −21.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.39% +0.7pp
Non-core / Revenue 16.98% +2.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 42.6% of PBT and lifted net margin by 2.5pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 6.2% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 6.17%, losing 5.8pp. That translates to 6.17 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 17.4pp and capital turnover fell 0.05x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 530bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.17% −5.8pp
NOPAT Margin 38.95% −17.4pp
Capital Turnover 0.16x −0.05x
Average Invested Capital 3,059.8bn +529.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.31x equity, net debt at 0.23x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 23.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −73.3bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +111.9bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −14.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 42.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 67.4 days, DSO rose 17.7 days, and DPO fell 6.9 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 117.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +17.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 56.1 days +17.7 days
Inventory 69.6 days −67.4 days
Payables 7.9 days −6.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 117.7 days −42.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 0.3bn due to capex of 182.6bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.23x and interest coverage at 2.79x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 23.1% of total debt, cash equals 8.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 678.9bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 8.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.23x +0.10x
Interest Coverage 2.79x −3.11x
Cash / Debt 8.7% −11.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 23.1% −13.4pp
CFO / NI 0.97x −0.67x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 139.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -431.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +292.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +164.6bn.

CFO / net income was 0.97x.

After spending +182.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −0.3bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 182.3bn −312.8bn
Cash Capex 182.6bn −32.9bn
FCF TTM −0.3bn −279.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 17.4 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 42.5%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 42.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.97x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 38.89% after a 17.4pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
506.1 544.4 532.6 478.9 417.0
Cost of Goods Sold
361.6 286.8 291.8 230.0 0.0
Gross Profit
144.5 257.6 240.8 248.9 207.4
Financial Expenses
59.5 45.1 48.5 32.6 -40.1
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
15.7 14.2 14.2 10.3 -19.9
Operating Profit
218.7 225.2 302.0 230.1 336.0
Profit Before Tax
218.5 225.3 302.2 231.0 336.4
Net Income
209.9 204.4 283.4 220.4 329.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
209.9 204.4 283.4 220.4 329.5
Earnings per Share
1,748.00 1,741.00 2,608.00 2,028.00 3,161.00

Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector

BWE, DNW, BWS, DNP, DNN, VAV, HPW, HWS, PMW, KHW, CTW, LDW, DWC, VLW, NNT, NQN, THN, TDW, CLW, NBT, DWS, HDW, BTW, GDW, QNW, BDW, TOW, BNW, TBW, NBW, NDW, LAW, PWS, PJS, STW, NAW, NS2, CMW, TNW, NTW, BGW, NLS, NVP, GLW, NQB, LKW, THW, DVW, SII, TAW, VPW, NSL, TQW, DKW, BWA

Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.