CMW

Cấp nước Cà Mau ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 1.81x
Price
12,500
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 10.13x
P/B 1.05x
EPS 1,234
BVPS 11,953
ROE 10.5%
ROA 5.8%
Profit Margin 12.3%
Asset Turnover 0.47x
Equity Mult. 1.81x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CMW is improving on both revenue and margins, though the magnitude is still moderate — profit is at an all-time high. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement continues through the next few periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 156bn
+13.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
12.27%
+0.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 19bn
+19.7%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 40.7 38.0 37.4 40.1 37.7 32.4 32.0 35.9 35.7 33.3 32.1 29.8
Growth +7% +2% -7% +6% +16% +1% -11% +1% +7% +3% +8%
Net Income 6.0 4.7 2.6 5.8 5.5 1.7 3.1 5.7 5.6 1.3 4.8 2.4
Net Margin 14.82% 12.30% 7.00% 14.58% 14.63% 5.17% 9.68% 15.95% 15.73% 4.06% 14.89% 8.06%

Drivers of CMW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 8.6bn
Other profit ↑ 0.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 4.6bn
Tax ↑ 0.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.6bn
Other profit ↑ 0.3bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.1bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.1bn
Tax ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 9.0% = 11.6% × 0.42 × 1.85
2026Q1 10.5% = 12.3% × 0.47 × 1.81

ROE rose from 9.0% to 10.5% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 12.3% +0.7pp Asset turnover: 0.47x +0.05x Leverage: 1.81x -0.04x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 12.27%, rising 0.7pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.1pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.3pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 12.27% +0.7pp
Gross Margin 39.11% +1.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 23.65% +0.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 7.3% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 7.30%, rising 0.4pp. That translates to 7.30 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 0.4pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 7.30% +0.4pp
NOPAT Margin 10.86% +0.4pp
Capital Turnover 0.67x +0.01x
Average Invested Capital 232.4bn +24.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.86x equity, net debt at 0.29x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 13.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.1 days, DSO fell 2.0 days, and DPO fell 13.9 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +13.0 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +1.1 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 9.4 days −2.0 days
Inventory 66.6 days +1.1 days
Payables 25.1 days −13.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 50.8 days +13.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.29x and interest coverage at 7.63x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 55.3% of total debt, cash equals 5.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 56.6bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 5.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.29x +0.03x
Interest Coverage 7.63x +0.06x
Cash / Debt 5.3% +1.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 55.3% −3.7pp
CFO / NI 1.81x +1.52x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 40.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -30.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +10.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +10.6bn.

CFO / net income was 1.81x.

After spending +30.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +4.2bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 34.6bn +30.1bn
Cash Capex 30.4bn +30.4bn
FCF TTM +4.2bn −0.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.81x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 7.3%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 7.63x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.81x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.29x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
153.2 136.0 123.5 116.1 110.5
Cost of Goods Sold
92.0 85.3 81.3 80.5 0.0
Gross Profit
61.2 50.7 42.2 35.7 27.9
Financial Expenses
2.7 2.2 2.5 2.4 -1.9
Selling Expenses
5.7 5.4 5.1 3.9 -5.1
General and Administrative Expenses
31.5 26.5 21.3 18.3 -18.4
Operating Profit
21.3 16.6 13.4 11.0 2.6
Profit Before Tax
23.7 18.3 13.8 11.6 12.0
Net Income
18.8 14.2 11.0 9.2 10.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
18.8 14.2 11.0 9.2 10.3
Earnings per Share
931.00 704.00 709.00 589.00 665.75

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