SII
Hạ tầng Nước Sài Gòn ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SII posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 74.4 | 70.2 | 71.5 | 74.6 | 69.7 | 65.1 | 66.6 | 69.9 | 63.7 | 66.8 | 58.7 | 61.5 |
| Growth | +6% | -2% | -4% | +7% | +7% | -2% | -5% | +10% | -5% | +14% | -4% | — |
| Net Income | -8.3 | 38.1 | -5.0 | 32.0 | -49.9 | 674.9 | -3.1 | -0.4 | -3.9 | -6.8 | -12.7 | -5.5 |
| Net Margin | -11.10% | 54.27% | -6.99% | 42.89% | -71.56% | 1037.49% | -4.66% | -0.53% | -6.18% | -10.15% | -21.71% | -8.97% |
Drivers of SII's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 52.6% to 3.9% — all three components weakened, with net margin being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 19.56%, losing 209.6pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 0.5pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.5pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.7pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 206.1pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 205.5pp, financial result still accounts for 160.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 2.6% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 2.63%, losing 31.2pp. That translates to 2.63 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 210.0pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 200bn.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.98x equity, net debt at 0.45x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 72.3bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 194.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.6 days, DSO fell 29.5 days, and DPO fell 226.2 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +194.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.45x and interest coverage only at 1.17x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 44.2% of total debt, cash equals 3.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 686.2bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 1.17x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Cash / debt stands at 3.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 167.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -368.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +201.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +62.4bn.
CFO / net income was 1.94x.
After spending +60.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +36.4bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 209.6 pp.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.94x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 154.6% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.56% after a 209.6pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
286.1 | 266.3 | 243.4 | 224.8 | 202.7 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
273.1 | 251.5 | 245.4 | 233.1 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
12.9 | 14.8 | -2.0 | -8.3 | -15.6 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
88.3 | 75.7 | 81.6 | 82.5 | -87.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
17.3 | 14.9 | 15.8 | 16.7 | -14.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
34.1 | 31.3 | 38.5 | 83.3 | -39.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
10.9 | 554.3 | -38.0 | -91.7 | -72.7 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
14.3 | 556.1 | -36.1 | -90.8 | -71.6 |
|
Net Income
|
9.2 | 552.1 | -38.6 | -86.4 | -78.2 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
2.5 | 544.6 | -42.3 | -89.0 | -73.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
39.00 | 8,441.00 | -656.00 | -1,379.00 | -1,139.00 |
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