BNW
Nước sạch Bắc Ninh ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BNW is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What is still missing is better cost control to prevent margin pressure from spreading to the overall profit result.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 74.5 | 77.2 | 81.4 | 74.8 | 62.7 | 75.9 | 78.1 | 71.8 | 61.2 | 68.6 | 72.3 | 65.7 |
| Growth | -3% | -5% | +9% | +19% | -17% | -3% | +9% | +17% | -11% | -5% | +10% | — |
| Net Income | 9.9 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 11.3 | 8.6 | 13.3 | 16.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | 11.4 | 14.7 | 8.9 |
| Net Margin | 13.29% | 9.47% | 9.50% | 15.17% | 13.69% | 17.52% | 20.53% | 17.75% | 15.03% | 16.54% | 20.41% | 13.62% |
Drivers of BNW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 12.5% to 9.0% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 11.79%, losing 5.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 4.8pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.2pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 2.0pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 5.3% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 5.28%, losing 2.5pp. That translates to 5.28 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 5.7pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital holding roughly steady.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.25x equity, net debt at 0.67x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 0.6bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.5 days, DSO rose 1.8 days, and DPO rose 0.1 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +1.8 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.67x and interest coverage at 2.44x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 10.4% of total debt, cash equals 16.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 320.0bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 16.2%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 91.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -66.9bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +24.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +13.0bn.
CFO / net income was 2.29x.
After spending +62.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +20.1bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 5.8 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 5.3%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.29x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.29x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 11.79% after a 5.8pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
296.1 | 287.0 | 254.5 | 209.1 | 197.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
222.6 | 197.8 | 187.7 | 174.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
73.5 | 89.2 | 66.8 | 34.2 | 36.7 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
14.6 | 11.8 | 13.3 | 2.9 | -2.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
20.8 | 20.1 | 17.1 | 15.3 | -12.6 |
|
Operating Profit
|
40.4 | 60.1 | 39.7 | 19.4 | 27.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
41.0 | 61.2 | 40.6 | 19.9 | 27.5 |
|
Net Income
|
35.0 | 51.3 | 35.5 | 18.7 | 23.9 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
35.0 | 51.3 | 35.5 | 18.7 | 23.9 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
916.00 | 1,358.00 | 937.00 | 489.00 | 628.00 |
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