TDW
Cấp nước Thủ Đức ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Slightly positive
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TDW shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement widens in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 325.3 | 341.8 | 335.5 | 348.1 | 317.3 | 330.1 | 323.8 | 342.5 | 321.7 | 296.8 | 317.3 | 328.1 |
| Growth | -5% | +2% | -4% | +10% | -4% | +2% | -5% | +6% | +8% | -6% | -3% | — |
| Net Income | 10.0 | 23.1 | 10.6 | 15.4 | 11.5 | 16.0 | 10.4 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 16.6 |
| Net Margin | 3.09% | 6.76% | 3.16% | 4.42% | 3.61% | 4.84% | 3.20% | 5.19% | 4.38% | 4.46% | 2.27% | 5.07% |
Drivers of TDW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 22.5% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 4.38%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 17.2% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 17.17%, losing 2.1pp. That translates to 17.17 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 1.10x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital expanded strongly by 68bn.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.73x equity, net debt at 0.34x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 4.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 3.8 days, DSO rose 0.7 days, and DPO fell 2.5 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +0.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 77.4bn due to capex of 198.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.34x and interest coverage at 10.30x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 41.7% of total debt, cash equals 44.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 166.0bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 151.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -211.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +60.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +92.5bn.
CFO / net income was 2.05x.
After spending +198.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −77.4bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.05x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 17.2%.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.05x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,342.8 | 1,318.1 | 1,282.6 | 1,184.0 | 1,039.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
870.8 | 857.1 | 825.4 | 798.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
471.9 | 461.1 | 457.2 | 386.0 | 337.6 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4.7 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -4.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
240.6 | 249.3 | 252.2 | 218.0 | -216.8 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
159.5 | 152.0 | 142.4 | 113.1 | -86.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
67.3 | 58.3 | 61.5 | 55.0 | 32.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
75.8 | 70.3 | 68.1 | 61.0 | 38.5 |
|
Net Income
|
60.4 | 56.1 | 53.9 | 47.5 | 31.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
60.4 | 56.1 | 53.9 | 47.5 | 31.0 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
7,110.00 | 6,598.00 | 6,342.00 | 5,591.00 | 3,645.54 |
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