TDW

Cấp nước Thủ Đức ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 2.05x
Price
46,100
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 6.63x
P/B 1.44x
EPS 6,956
BVPS 32,063
ROE 22.5%
ROA 9.2%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Asset Turnover 2.10x
Equity Mult. 2.44x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TDW shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement widens in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,351bn
+2.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
4.38%
+0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 59bn
+6.4%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 325.3 341.8 335.5 348.1 317.3 330.1 323.8 342.5 321.7 296.8 317.3 328.1
Growth -5% +2% -4% +10% -4% +2% -5% +6% +8% -6% -3%
Net Income 10.0 23.1 10.6 15.4 11.5 16.0 10.4 17.8 14.1 13.2 7.2 16.6
Net Margin 3.09% 6.76% 3.16% 4.42% 3.61% 4.84% 3.20% 5.19% 4.38% 4.46% 2.27% 5.07%

Drivers of TDW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 14.3bn
Selling expenses ↓ 4.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 5.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 4.5bn
Other profit ↓ 3.6bn
Tax ↑ 1.8bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 3.9bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 1.6bn
Tax ↓ 0.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 5.5bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 22.2% = 4.2% × 2.54 × 2.07
2026Q1 22.5% = 4.4% × 2.10 × 2.44

ROE is broadly flat at 22.5% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 4.4% +0.1pp Asset turnover: 2.10x -0.44x Leverage: 2.44x +0.38x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 4.38%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 4.38% +0.1pp
Gross Margin 35.23% +0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 29.91% −0.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 17.2% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 17.17%, losing 2.1pp. That translates to 17.17 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 1.10x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital expanded strongly by 68bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 17.17% −2.1pp
NOPAT Margin 3.89% +0.4pp
Capital Turnover 4.42x −1.10x
Average Invested Capital 305.8bn +67.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.73x equity, net debt at 0.34x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 4.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −8.7bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +11.5bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +2.0bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 3.8 days, DSO rose 0.7 days, and DPO fell 2.5 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 12.5 days +0.7 days
Inventory 21.9 days −3.8 days
Payables 36.4 days −2.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -2.0 days −0.6 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 77.4bn due to capex of 198.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.34x and interest coverage at 10.30x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 41.7% of total debt, cash equals 44.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 166.0bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.34x +0.36x
Interest Coverage 10.30x −20.83x
Cash / Debt 44.8% −69.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 41.7% +20.2pp
CFO / NI 2.05x −1.70x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 151.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -211.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +60.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +92.5bn.

CFO / net income was 2.05x.

After spending +198.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −77.4bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 121.5bn −87.4bn
Cash Capex 198.8bn +5.6bn
FCF TTM −77.4bn −92.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.05x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 17.2%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.05x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,342.8 1,318.1 1,282.6 1,184.0 1,039.5
Cost of Goods Sold
870.8 857.1 825.4 798.0 0.0
Gross Profit
471.9 461.1 457.2 386.0 337.6
Financial Expenses
4.7 1.6 3.1 3.6 -4.3
Selling Expenses
240.6 249.3 252.2 218.0 -216.8
General and Administrative Expenses
159.5 152.0 142.4 113.1 -86.0
Operating Profit
67.3 58.3 61.5 55.0 32.9
Profit Before Tax
75.8 70.3 68.1 61.0 38.5
Net Income
60.4 56.1 53.9 47.5 31.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
60.4 56.1 53.9 47.5 31.0
Earnings per Share
7,110.00 6,598.00 6,342.00 5,591.00 3,645.54

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