GDW

Cấp nước Gia Định ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 1.51x
Price
32,500
Latest close
11 May 2026
P/E 7.65x
P/B 1.64x
EPS 4,246
BVPS 19,825
ROE 21.4%
ROA 12.4%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Asset Turnover 2.05x
Equity Mult. 1.73x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, GDW has not moved the needle on revenue, but profitability has edged up slightly — profit is at an all-time high. What remains unclear is whether this improvement can widen without revenue momentum to back it.

TTM REVENUE
VND 668bn
−0.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
6.04%
+0.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 40bn
+17.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 160.4 170.8 165.9 170.9 165.4 168.5 168.3 171.8 163.7 157.6 163.6 168.6
Growth -6% +3% -3% +3% -2% +0% -2% +5% +4% -4% -3%
Net Income 0.7 15.3 5.9 18.4 0.7 15.6 4.6 13.5 6.2 -9.7 3.2 23.2
Net Margin 0.45% 8.97% 3.56% 10.77% 0.42% 9.27% 2.71% 7.86% 3.80% -6.18% 1.98% 13.74%

Drivers of GDW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 14.3bn
Selling expenses ↓ 10.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 9.1bn
Other profit ↓ 8.5bn
Tax ↑ 1.6bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 5.5bn
Financial income ↑ 0.0bn
Other profit ↑ 0.0bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 4.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.6bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 18.6% = 5.1% × 2.29 × 1.59
2026Q1 21.4% = 6.0% × 2.05 × 1.73

ROE rose from 18.6% to 21.4% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 6.0% +0.9pp Asset turnover: 2.05x -0.23x Leverage: 1.73x +0.14x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 6.04%, rising 0.9pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 2.5pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.1pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 1.3pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 6.04% +0.9pp
Gross Margin 41.17% +2.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 33.92% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 25.0% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 24.98%, rising 4.4pp. That translates to 24.98 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 1.9pp, with capital turnover fell 0.98x; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 24.98% +4.4pp
NOPAT Margin 5.84% +1.9pp
Capital Turnover 4.28x −0.98x
Average Invested Capital 156.2bn +27.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.81x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.09x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 42.1bn, roughly 12.4% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 13.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 12.0 days, DSO rose 0.9 days, and DPO fell 0.5 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +13.4 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 15.4 days +0.9 days
Inventory 24.2 days +12.0 days
Payables 42.5 days −0.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -2.9 days +13.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 51.9bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.09x and interest coverage at 98.33x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, cash equals 194.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 17.2bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.09x +0.17x
Interest Coverage 98.33x +50.37x
Cash / Debt 194.8% −582.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.3% +46.6pp
CFO / NI 1.51x +2.05x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 51.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -50.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +32.2bn.

CFO / net income was 1.51x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 60.8bn +79.5bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.51x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 25.0%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.51x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
673.0 672.3 653.4 623.8 557.9
Cost of Goods Sold
403.5 409.7 391.2 387.5 0.0
Gross Profit
269.5 262.6 262.1 236.3 194.2
Financial Expenses
0.4 0.8 1.4 1.4 -1.7
Selling Expenses
131.0 138.8 138.1 138.9 -102.2
General and Administrative Expenses
90.2 84.0 80.2 73.3 -68.8
Operating Profit
49.0 40.3 44.6 24.0 22.7
Profit Before Tax
50.7 50.1 45.4 27.0 21.9
Net Income
40.3 39.9 36.0 21.2 17.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
40.3 39.9 36.0 21.2 17.8
Earnings per Share
4,239.00 4,199.00 3,787.00 2,231.00 1,875.89

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