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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 2/2026

NBW

Cấp nước Nhà Bè

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ Under pressure

Trailing net profit reached 27.8bn, fell 8.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower selling expenses and lower tax. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses, lower gross profit, lower financial income, and higher deferred tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
12.00x
P/B
1.99x
EPS
2,550
BVPS
15,408
ROE
16.4%
ROA
8.5%
Market price
30,600
13 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, NBW is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit is near a multi-period low. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Selling expenses
  2. Tax
  3. Administrative expenses
  4. Gross profit
  5. Financial income
  6. Deferred tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue239.9223.8233.2224.0235.4222.3233.4221.1
LNST8.58.47.83.19.111.96.98.1
Net margin3.53%3.77%3.33%1.39%3.88%5.33%2.97%3.65%

Revenue

240bn

Net income

8bn

Net margin

3.53%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 1.0% year on year, with the quarterly pace steady around +2%.

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
921bn
+1.0%
Latest quarter YoY
+2%
steady

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin narrowed to 3.02%, falling 0.9pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 0.8pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.1pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
3.02%
−0.9pp
Gross Margin
32.48%
−0.8pp
SG&A / Revenue
28.49%
+0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▲

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 54.2bn against investing cash flow of -9.2bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +45.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.4bn.

CFO / net income was 2,06 lần.

After spending +66.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −9.0bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 96% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at +2.0%, other profit at +2.2% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
4.1%
low
Net financial / PBT
2.0%
Other profit / PBT
2.2%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 2.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 2.0 days, DSO rose 1.9 days, and DPO rose 1.6 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +2.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.0% -0.9pp
Asset turnover 2.81x -0.08x
Financial leverage 1.93x +0.06x
ROE 16.4% -4.9pp

ROE fell from 21.3% to 16.4% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 54.2bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.22x
Interest Coverage
None
Cash / Debt
None
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
None

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

▼

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.81x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.22x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 0.6bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with some core pressures remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.06x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.06x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +1,0% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 3.02% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 54.2bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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