NBW

Cấp nước Nhà Bè ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Price
38,500
Latest close
25 May 2026
P/E 14.75x
P/B 2.19x
EPS 2,610
BVPS 17,555
ROE 14.7%
ROA 8.9%
Profit Margin 3.1%
Asset Turnover 2.87x
Equity Mult. 1.65x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NBW is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit is at an all-time high. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.

TTM REVENUE
VND 916bn
+0.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.10%
−0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 28bn
−19.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 223.8 233.2 224.0 235.4 222.3 233.4 221.1 231.7 219.9 223.5 222.0 228.9
Growth -4% +4% -5% +6% -5% +6% -5% +5% -2% +1% -3%
Net Income 8.4 7.8 3.1 9.1 11.9 6.9 8.1 8.4 7.0 5.5 5.7 8.2
Net Margin 3.77% 3.33% 1.39% 3.88% 5.33% 2.97% 3.65% 3.63% 3.18% 2.48% 2.58% 3.58%

Drivers of NBW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 1.7bn
Selling expenses ↓ 1.0bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.8bn
Financial income ↓ 1.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 0.8bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 2.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 18.7% = 3.9% × 2.94 × 1.64
2026Q1 14.7% = 3.1% × 2.87 × 1.65

ROE fell from 18.7% to 14.7% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 3.1% -0.8pp Asset turnover: 2.87x -0.07x Leverage: 1.65x +0.02x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 3.10%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.4pp and Gross margin fell 0.3pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.2pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.10% −0.8pp
Gross Margin 32.27% −0.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 28.18% +0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 3.11% −0.8pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.81x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 10.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −5.8bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +4.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +11.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.6 days, DSO rose 1.5 days, and DPO rose 2.3 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +0.6 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 11.0 days +1.5 days
Inventory 18.3 days +0.6 days
Payables 45.0 days +2.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -15.7 days −0.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 54.2bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.13x
Interest Coverage
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 2.17x +0.96x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 54.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -9.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +45.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.4bn.

CFO / net income was 2.17x.

After spending +69.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −7.1bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 61.8bn +19.0bn
Cash Capex 69.0bn +6.0bn
FCF TTM −7.1bn +12.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with some core pressures remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.17x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.17x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
914.9 906.1 888.9 853.4 748.6
Cost of Goods Sold
616.4 618.0 606.6 585.8 0.0
Gross Profit
298.5 288.1 282.2 267.7 201.2
Financial Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Selling Expenses
166.5 166.4 165.5 164.8 -115.1
General and Administrative Expenses
90.4 84.4 88.8 78.0 -66.1
Operating Profit
42.6 39.8 33.1 26.8 21.2
Profit Before Tax
42.5 40.0 33.0 27.0 22.0
Net Income
31.9 30.3 25.3 20.8 17.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
31.9 30.3 25.3 20.8 17.8
Earnings per Share
2,924.00 2,780.00 2,324.00 1,904.00 1,628.73

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