NBW
Cấp nước Nhà Bè ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NBW is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit is at an all-time high. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 223.8 | 233.2 | 224.0 | 235.4 | 222.3 | 233.4 | 221.1 | 231.7 | 219.9 | 223.5 | 222.0 | 228.9 |
| Growth | -4% | +4% | -5% | +6% | -5% | +6% | -5% | +5% | -2% | +1% | -3% | — |
| Net Income | 8.4 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 9.1 | 11.9 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 8.2 |
| Net Margin | 3.77% | 3.33% | 1.39% | 3.88% | 5.33% | 2.97% | 3.65% | 3.63% | 3.18% | 2.48% | 2.58% | 3.58% |
Drivers of NBW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 18.7% to 14.7% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 3.10%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.4pp and Gross margin fell 0.3pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.2pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.81x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 10.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.6 days, DSO rose 1.5 days, and DPO rose 2.3 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +1.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
DIO increased by +0.6 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 54.2bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 54.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -9.2bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +45.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.4bn.
CFO / net income was 2.17x.
After spending +69.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −7.1bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with some core pressures remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.17x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.17x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
914.9 | 906.1 | 888.9 | 853.4 | 748.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
616.4 | 618.0 | 606.6 | 585.8 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
298.5 | 288.1 | 282.2 | 267.7 | 201.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
166.5 | 166.4 | 165.5 | 164.8 | -115.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
90.4 | 84.4 | 88.8 | 78.0 | -66.1 |
|
Operating Profit
|
42.6 | 39.8 | 33.1 | 26.8 | 21.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
42.5 | 40.0 | 33.0 | 27.0 | 22.0 |
|
Net Income
|
31.9 | 30.3 | 25.3 | 20.8 | 17.8 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
31.9 | 30.3 | 25.3 | 20.8 | 17.8 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,924.00 | 2,780.00 | 2,324.00 | 1,904.00 | 1,628.73 |
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