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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 2/2026

CSC

Tập đoàn Cotana

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 45.3bn, rose 21.0bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit, better other profit, and lower deferred tax. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher minority interests, higher finance costs, higher tax, and higher selling expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
7.89x
P/B
0.39x
EPS
1,102
BVPS
22,317
ROE
5.1%
ROA
2.0%
Market price
8,700
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, CSC has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Other profit
  3. Deferred tax
  4. Minority interests
  5. Finance costs
  6. Tax
  7. Selling expenses
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue121.281.5329.1215.4249.6100.5164.3246.4
LNST4.62.042.124.410.715.32.57.9
Net margin3.82%2.47%12.78%11.32%4.30%15.24%1.53%3.19%

Revenue

121bn

Net income

5bn

Net margin

3.82%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 1.8% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (−13% → −51%).

1 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
747bn
−1.8%
Latest quarter YoY
−51%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 9.78%, rising 5.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 8.7pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 1.2pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.8pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.8pp remained a drag).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2025Q1: 100.5bn

2025Q2: 249.6bn

2025Q3: 215.4bn

2025Q4: 329.1bn

2026Q1: 81.5bn

2026Q2: 121.2bn

Net Margin
9.78%
+5.0pp
Gross Margin
25.90%
+8.7pp
SG&A / Revenue
9.73%
+1.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 164.3bn against investing cash flow of 16.5bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +180.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +35.8bn.

CFO / net income was 0,96 lần.

After spending +5.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +38.5bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 99% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −31.2%, other profit at +0.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
0.6%
low
Net financial / PBT
−31.2%
Other profit / PBT
0.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 6.4% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 6.36%, rising 2.8pp. That translates to 6.36 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 4.4pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 9.8% +5.0pp
Asset turnover 0.34x +0.01x
Financial leverage 2.48x -0.26x
ROE 8.2% +3.9pp

ROE rose from 4.3% to 8.2% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.29x and interest coverage at 2.85x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 52.9% of total debt, cash equals 44.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 478.7bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.29x
+0.02x
Interest Coverage
2.85x
+0.10x
Cash / Debt
44.8%
−4.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
52.9%
+20.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.29x equity, net debt at 0.29x equity.

Customer advances 331.2bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 57.87% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue. Advances cover only 21.41% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 331.2bn · YoY +121.4bn · QoQ +40.2bn

Locked-in revenue: ~1.77x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 21.41%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 1,546.9bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 0.2bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 1,546.9bn (99.99%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 0.2bn (0.01%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 264.4bn vs project value 1,547.1bn — ratio 17.09%; the project pipeline backs net debt 5.85x over.

Net debt / project value: 17.09%

Development inventory ended the period at 1,386.0bn, about 64.9% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 9.2bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 5.0 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 6.4%.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 9.78% after expanding 5.0pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −1,8% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 9.78% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 164.3bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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