CKG
Tập đoàn CIC ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CKG is losing revenue quickly, though margins have not been hit proportionally yet — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 82.8 | 425.6 | 132.7 | 156.0 | 138.6 | 491.8 | 300.3 | 263.0 | 281.0 | 344.5 | 291.4 | 372.8 |
| Growth | -81% | +221% | -15% | +13% | -72% | +64% | +14% | -6% | -18% | +18% | -22% | — |
| Net Income | 4.8 | 36.2 | 27.5 | 12.0 | 21.6 | 47.5 | 27.8 | 25.3 | 26.5 | 63.6 | 23.6 | 58.5 |
| Net Margin | 5.75% | 8.50% | 20.72% | 7.71% | 15.60% | 9.66% | 9.26% | 9.62% | 9.41% | 18.45% | 8.08% | 15.71% |
Drivers of CKG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 8.4% to 4.6% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 10.09%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.4% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC narrowed to 2.37%, falling 1.5pp. That translates to 2.37 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 0.14x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital rose by 267bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.42x equity, net debt at 0.84x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 3,360.8bn, about 68.3% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 303.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 284.9bn due to capex of 72.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.84x and interest coverage at 3.73x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 49.1% of total debt, cash equals 3.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,770.7bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 3.5%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -122.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -5.2bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +127.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +175.0bn.
CFO / net income was -2.90x.
After spending +72.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −284.9bn.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -2.90x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 2.4%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 3.73x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -2.90x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.84x and a thin cash buffer.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
855.2 | 1,294.5 | 1,300.8 | 1,445.8 | 1,113.2 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
562.0 | 943.3 | 910.8 | 1,038.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
293.2 | 351.2 | 389.9 | 407.8 | 367.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
30.0 | 24.6 | 29.9 | 21.4 | -45.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
38.1 | 29.7 | 35.9 | 33.0 | -22.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
101.5 | 148.6 | 140.0 | 144.8 | -176.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
132.9 | 156.6 | 196.8 | 214.0 | 177.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
126.4 | 154.6 | 196.1 | 215.7 | 179.3 |
|
Net Income
|
98.6 | 122.6 | 155.2 | 169.4 | 139.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
90.7 | 122.8 | 143.6 | 167.1 | 162.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
688.00 | 1,289.00 | 1,508.00 | 1,419.00 | 1,945.00 |
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