XMP
Thủy điện Xuân Minh ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▲▲ Improving positively
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, XMP has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — profit is at an all-time high. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 22.6 | 23.1 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 19.6 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 18.9 | 17.3 | 9.4 | 18.4 | 20.3 |
| Growth | -2% | +54% | -35% | +17% | +39% | -22% | -5% | +9% | +85% | -49% | -9% | — |
| Net Income | 10.1 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 9.6 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 3.7 | -5.5 | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| Net Margin | 44.57% | 34.94% | 18.30% | 41.97% | 37.48% | 10.46% | 22.79% | 28.75% | 21.27% | -59.10% | 14.08% | 20.70% |
Drivers of XMP's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 10.5% to 16.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 36.49%, rising 10.5pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 3.3pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 1.6pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 6.1pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.97x equity, net debt at 0.81x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 6.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 1.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.2 days, DSO fell 3.2 days, and DPO fell 2.0 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.81x and interest coverage at 2.09x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 31.5% of total debt, cash equals 0.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 160.6bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 0.8%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 42.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +42.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +44.3bn.
CFO / net income was 1.37x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 10.5 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 2.09x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 36.49% after expanding 10.5pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.81x and a thin cash buffer.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
80.6 | 71.5 | 65.3 | 80.0 | 73.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
31.5 | 29.7 | 29.4 | 30.1 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
49.1 | 41.8 | 35.9 | 49.9 | 45.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
15.3 | 17.4 | 25.3 | 23.6 | -26.2 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
4.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.7 | -4.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
29.3 | 19.0 | 5.6 | 21.6 | 15.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
29.1 | 18.8 | 5.8 | 22.0 | 15.4 |
|
Net Income
|
27.8 | 17.8 | 4.9 | 20.6 | 15.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
27.8 | 17.8 | 4.9 | 20.6 | 15.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,831.00 | 1,165.00 | 308.00 | 1,375.00 | 1,027.93 |
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