QPH
Thủy điện Quế Phong ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, QPH posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is which side will dominate in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 26.2 | 37.5 | 34.9 | 33.6 | 22.1 | 31.2 | 31.2 | 23.9 | 24.5 | 34.6 | 25.5 | 26.5 |
| Growth | -30% | +7% | +4% | +52% | -29% | -0% | +31% | -2% | -29% | +36% | -4% | — |
| Net Income | 17.1 | 21.1 | 20.8 | 21.4 | 14.9 | 21.0 | 19.3 | 16.2 | 17.5 | 22.1 | 15.6 | 18.1 |
| Net Margin | 65.19% | 56.23% | 59.68% | 63.65% | 67.64% | 67.30% | 62.00% | 67.58% | 71.39% | 63.72% | 61.32% | 68.42% |
Drivers of QPH's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 15.1% to 20.3% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 60.80%, losing 5.1pp. Gross margin rose 7.2pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 8.8pp (Other profit / Revenue rose 1.2pp still added support).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 18.9% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to 18.89%, rising 4.5pp. That translates to 18.89 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 0.09x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin narrowed 6.1pp; while invested capital contracted by 77bn.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.32x equity, net debt at 0.02x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.02x and interest coverage at 29.89x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 37.4% of total debt, cash equals 72.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 16.9bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 49.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 254.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +304.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +298.4bn.
CFO / net income was 1.00x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business does not yet provide a clear enough conclusion — not due to lack of data, but because the industry's nature makes many indicators prone to cyclical distortion. The reasonable reading is to keep the thesis in wait-for-confirmation mode. The brighter spot is leverage pressure is easing, with net debt/equity down to 0.02x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 20.4%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 5.1 pp.
Improvement: leverage pressure is easing, with net debt / equity down 0.10x to 0.02x while interest coverage holds at 29.89x.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 20.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 1.00x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 60.80% after a 5.1pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
128.1 | 110.8 | 110.9 | 120.3 | 120.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
49.4 | 46.9 | 48.7 | 47.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
78.7 | 63.9 | 62.2 | 72.4 | 72.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -1.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
6.2 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 6.2 | -6.1 |
|
Operating Profit
|
96.4 | 83.1 | 79.8 | 82.7 | 76.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
96.0 | 81.7 | 80.2 | 81.3 | 76.0 |
|
Net Income
|
77.2 | 70.9 | 72.3 | 74.0 | 70.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
77.2 | 70.9 | 72.3 | 74.0 | 70.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
4,267.00 | 3,815.00 | 3,892.00 | 3,984.00 | 3,787.00 |
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