QPH

Thủy điện Quế Phong ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Financial result is supporting part of pre-tax profit Net financial result/PBT 20.37%
Price
34,800
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 8.04x
P/B 2.13x
EPS 4,326
BVPS 16,365
ROE 20.3%
ROA 16.8%
Profit Margin 60.8%
Asset Turnover 0.28x
Equity Mult. 1.21x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, QPH posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is which side will dominate in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 132bn
+22.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
60.80%
−5.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 80bn
+12.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 26.2 37.5 34.9 33.6 22.1 31.2 31.2 23.9 24.5 34.6 25.5 26.5
Growth -30% +7% +4% +52% -29% -0% +31% -2% -29% +36% -4%
Net Income 17.1 21.1 20.8 21.4 14.9 21.0 19.3 16.2 17.5 22.1 15.6 18.1
Net Margin 65.19% 56.23% 59.68% 63.65% 67.64% 67.30% 62.00% 67.58% 71.39% 63.72% 61.32% 68.42%

Drivers of QPH's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 23.4bn
Finance costs ↓ 1.3bn
Other profit ↑ 1.2bn
Tax ↑ 9.5bn
Financial income ↓ 7.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 5.9bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.6bn
Financial income ↓ 4.0bn
Tax ↑ 0.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 15.1% = 65.9% × 0.19 × 1.19
2026Q1 20.3% = 60.8% × 0.28 × 1.21

ROE rose from 15.1% to 20.3% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 60.8% -5.1pp Asset turnover: 0.28x +0.08x Leverage: 1.21x +0.02x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 60.80%, losing 5.1pp. Gross margin rose 7.2pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 8.8pp (Other profit / Revenue rose 1.2pp still added support).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 60.80% −5.1pp
Gross Margin 65.33% +7.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.80% −0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 18.9% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 18.89%, rising 4.5pp. That translates to 18.89 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 0.09x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin narrowed 6.1pp; while invested capital contracted by 77bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 18.89% +4.5pp
NOPAT Margin 60.91% −6.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.31x +0.09x
Average Invested Capital 426.4bn −77.3bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.32x equity, net debt at 0.02x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −0.2bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −1.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 23.8 days −3.4 days
Inventory
Payables 79.6 days −114.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.02x and interest coverage at 29.89x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 37.4% of total debt, cash equals 72.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 16.9bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.02x −0.10x
Interest Coverage 29.89x +12.02x
Cash / Debt 72.1% +65.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 37.4% −3.9pp
CFO / NI 1.00x +0.58x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 49.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 254.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +304.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +298.4bn.

CFO / net income was 1.00x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 80.0bn +50.6bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business does not yet provide a clear enough conclusion — not due to lack of data, but because the industry's nature makes many indicators prone to cyclical distortion. The reasonable reading is to keep the thesis in wait-for-confirmation mode. The brighter spot is leverage pressure is easing, with net debt/equity down to 0.02x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 20.4%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 5.1 pp.

Improvement: leverage pressure is easing, with net debt / equity down 0.10x to 0.02x while interest coverage holds at 29.89x.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 20.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 1.00x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 60.80% after a 5.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
128.1 110.8 110.9 120.3 120.4
Cost of Goods Sold
49.4 46.9 48.7 47.9 0.0
Gross Profit
78.7 63.9 62.2 72.4 72.1
Financial Expenses
4.0 3.7 1.5 1.1 -1.5
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
6.2 6.1 5.8 6.2 -6.1
Operating Profit
96.4 83.1 79.8 82.7 76.9
Profit Before Tax
96.0 81.7 80.2 81.3 76.0
Net Income
77.2 70.9 72.3 74.0 70.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
77.2 70.9 72.3 74.0 70.4
Earnings per Share
4,267.00 3,815.00 3,892.00 3,984.00 3,787.00

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