TMP
Thủy điện Thác Mơ ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TMP is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 159.6 | 193.2 | 239.6 | 186.0 | 134.7 | 232.9 | 256.0 | 162.7 | 112.1 | 219.2 | 228.5 | 209.6 |
| Growth | -17% | -19% | +29% | +38% | -42% | -9% | +57% | +45% | -49% | -4% | +9% | — |
| Net Income | 65.6 | 75.7 | 108.8 | 85.4 | 52.1 | 109.2 | 131.7 | 74.9 | 39.2 | 94.3 | 115.8 | 131.6 |
| Net Margin | 41.07% | 39.18% | 45.44% | 45.95% | 38.70% | 46.89% | 51.45% | 46.05% | 35.02% | 43.01% | 50.69% | 62.81% |
Drivers of TMP's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 25.0% to 20.1% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 43.11%, losing 3.7pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 7.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.1pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.7pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 17.8% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 17.84%, losing 3.7pp. That translates to 17.84 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 3.7pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 173bn.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.33x equity, net debt at 0.11x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 99.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 36.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.3 days, DSO fell 30.3 days, and DPO rose 6.0 days.
All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 129.3 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.11x and interest coverage at 20.89x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 15.8% of total debt, cash equals 24.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 247.0bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 24.9%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 514.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -320.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +194.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +142.5bn.
CFO / net income was 1.33x.
After spending +78.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +361.0bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.7 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 17.8%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.33x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.33x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 43.11% after a 3.7pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
752.0 | 763.6 | 854.0 | 1,070.3 | 748.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
348.5 | 321.8 | 315.2 | 334.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
403.6 | 441.8 | 538.9 | 736.3 | 464.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
19.5 | 24.6 | 35.3 | 35.2 | -33.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
67.8 | 59.4 | 53.7 | 68.3 | -58.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
386.2 | 425.6 | 554.1 | 702.8 | 433.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
386.6 | 425.6 | 554.4 | 707.5 | 433.7 |
|
Net Income
|
323.1 | 355.2 | 460.2 | 580.1 | 363.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
317.5 | 350.4 | 455.0 | 573.4 | 356.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
4,535.00 | 5,005.00 | 6,500.00 | 8,191.00 | 5,090.85 |
Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector
REE, GEG, DNH, VSH, SBH, HNA, CHP, BGE, SHP, AVC, VPD, TBC, TTA, ND2, SBA, BHA, BSA, SJD, SEB, SBM, GSM, TTE, ISH, QPH, NTH, SP2, SVH, SD9, DRL, DL1, HJS, NED, TDB, XMP, SD3, HPD, PTC, KOS, HIO, SMA, S72, DTE
Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.