AVC

Thủy điện A Vương ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 37.36%, −4.19pp YoY
Price
46,300
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 12.84x
P/B 2.79x
EPS 3,607
BVPS 16,603
ROE 22.6%
ROA 21.8%
Profit Margin 37.4%
Asset Turnover 0.58x
Equity Mult. 1.04x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, AVC is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

TTM REVENUE
VND 725bn
−8.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
37.36%
−4.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 271bn
−17.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 128.9 244.8 204.9 146.0 130.7 275.2 243.9 141.2 92.0 197.7 118.7 131.8
Growth -47% +19% +40% +12% -53% +13% +73% +53% -53% +66% -10%
Net Income 49.8 79.0 96.6 45.3 59.8 131.5 123.7 13.7 33.3 66.0 48.7 77.4
Net Margin 38.62% 32.25% 47.17% 31.03% 45.72% 47.78% 50.73% 9.67% 36.20% 33.42% 41.05% 58.72%

Drivers of AVC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 14.7bn
Financial income ↑ 6.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 71.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 5.8bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 1.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 8.0bn
Financial income ↓ 2.9bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 30.6% = 41.5% × 0.58 × 1.27
2026Q1 22.6% = 37.4% × 0.58 × 1.04

ROE fell from 30.6% to 22.6% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 37.4% -4.2pp Asset turnover: 0.58x +0.00x Leverage: 1.04x -0.23x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 37.36%, losing 4.2pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 4.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.3pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.0pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.3pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 37.36% −4.2pp
Gross Margin 50.78% −4.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.18% +1.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 37.28% −4.0pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.12x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 133.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −87.0bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −5.8bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −40.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 18.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.5 days, DSO fell 31.4 days, and DPO fell 13.9 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 70.8 days −31.4 days
Inventory 8.9 days −0.5 days
Payables 7.1 days −13.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 72.6 days −18.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 415.8bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.03x
Interest Coverage
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 1.18x −0.29x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 415.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -151.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +264.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +206.7bn.

CFO / net income was 1.18x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 320.2bn −163.5bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 4.2 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.18x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.18x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 37.36% after a 4.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
726.5 752.3 696.8 1,003.9 682.1
Cost of Goods Sold
357.6 349.8 297.2 333.6 0.0
Gross Profit
368.9 402.5 399.5 670.3 391.9
Financial Expenses
0.0 0.0 3.9 4.0
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
51.1 43.4 50.3 50.3 -39.3
Operating Profit
334.2 367.0 385.3 639.8 362.7
Profit Before Tax
334.9 370.5 385.9 637.4 362.6
Net Income
269.4 297.2 346.5 571.7 342.2
Profit Attributable to Parent
269.4 297.2 346.5 571.7 342.2
Earnings per Share
3,589.00 3,960.00 4,617.00 7,618.00 4,559.30

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