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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

BGE

BCG Energy

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 106.4bn, rose 112.6bn compared with the previous quarter. Key positives came from lower finance costs, higher gross profit, better other profit, and higher associates income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income and higher minority interests. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
18.62x
P/B
0.22x
EPS
145
BVPS
12,450
ROE
1.1%
ROA
0.6%
Market price
2,700
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a Năm 2024 basis, BGE has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue339.6349.4362.9296.5248.5339.7369.3
LNST92.367.520.96.5-109.9213.6225.2
Net margin27.17%19.32%5.75%2.20%-44.24%62.87%60.97%

Revenue

340bn

Net income

92bn

Net margin

27.17%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 7.5% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from −2% to +15%.

2 of the last 3 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
1,348bn
+7.5%
Latest quarter YoY
+15%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 13.88%, losing 12.9pp. Gross margin rose 3.4pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 1.4pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 25.5pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.7pp.

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Net Margin
13.88%
−12.9pp
Gross Margin
52.06%
+3.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
4.61%
−1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,207.0bn against investing cash flow of -894.6bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2024).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +312.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +415.2bn.

CFO / net income was 4,48 lần.

After spending +45.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +431.1bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Earnings Quality

●

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income makes up 10.2% of pre-tax profit — worth monitoring.

Within that, net financial result at −192.7%, other profit at +10.2% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
10.2%
moderate
Net financial / PBT
−192.7%
Other profit / PBT
10.2%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 1.3% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

ROIC currently stands at 1.31%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.73x and interest coverage only at 0.38x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 22.5% of total debt, cash equals 2.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,737.4bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net Debt / Equity
0.73x
+0.17x
Interest Coverage
0.38x
−0.18x
Cash / Debt
2.0%
−3.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
22.5%
+0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.38x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 2.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.92x equity, net debt at 0.73x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 463.6bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.48x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 1.3%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 12.9 pp.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.48x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 13.88% after a 12.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +13,5% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 30.86% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 1,207.0bn (cumulative for 2024) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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