VSF
Tổng Công ty Lương thực Miền Nam - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▲ Slightly positive
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VSF has not moved the needle on revenue, but profitability has edged up slightly — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. What remains unclear is whether this improvement can widen without revenue momentum to back it.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,949.3 | 3,220.5 | 3,807.0 | 6,289.2 | 4,496.9 | 4,955.0 | 16,505.1 | 6,445.3 | 4,797.4 | 4,365.5 | 7,328.2 | 6,867.5 |
| Growth | -8% | -15% | -39% | +40% | -9% | -70% | +156% | +34% | +10% | -40% | +7% | — |
| Net Income | 5.0 | 21.3 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 27.5 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 31.1 | 21.7 | 9.4 |
| Net Margin | 0.17% | 0.66% | 0.49% | 0.29% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.17% | 0.21% | 0.71% | 0.30% | 0.14% |
Drivers of VSF's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 1.8% to 2.6% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 0.39%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC edged up to 1.02%, rising 1.0pp. That translates to 1.02 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, with capital turnover fell 1.08x; while invested capital contracted by 2,491bn.
NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 1.02% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.87x equity, net debt at 0.49x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 1,481.2bn, roughly 21.1% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2,840.4bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 23.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 10.2 days, DSO rose 13.7 days, and DPO rose 0.9 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 102.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +13.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.49x and interest coverage only at 0.41x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, cash equals 43.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,158.1bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.41x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 491.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -49.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +442.3bn. Financing cash flow was positive +532.4bn.
CFO / net income was 102.49x.
After spending +33.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +3,004.0bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 16.3%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 1.0%.
Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 1,020.0bn versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 102.49x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 16.3% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
17,813.5 | 21,460.1 | 23,030.7 | 17,303.5 | 16,487.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
16,031.9 | 19,828.3 | 21,212.0 | 15,791.5 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1,781.6 | 1,631.7 | 1,818.7 | 1,512.0 | 956.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
225.1 | 296.0 | 386.6 | 294.4 | -162.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
1,108.6 | 1,058.1 | 1,066.6 | 979.8 | -827.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
505.5 | 446.7 | 528.8 | 402.3 | -372.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
68.4 | 3.7 | 69.9 | 25.4 | -325.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
86.2 | 59.1 | 92.3 | 47.6 | -302.5 |
|
Net Income
|
62.0 | 29.8 | 62.3 | 21.1 | -327.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
28.4 | 4.3 | 23.1 | -9.2 | -352.2 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
57.00 | 9.00 | 46.00 | -18.00 | -724.00 |
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