KGM

Xuất nhập khẩu Kiên Giang ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Cash generation is recovering CFO/NPAT 925 bn, +370 bn YoY
Price
5,500
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 9.11x
P/B 0.50x
EPS 604
BVPS 10,973
ROE 5.6%
ROA 1.1%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Asset Turnover 3.22x
Equity Mult. 5.09x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, KGM is still improving profit despite revenue not recovering, suggesting cost efficiency or the earnings mix is aiding current results — profit is at an all-time high. What is still missing is enough revenue momentum to make this profit level more durable.

TTM REVENUE
VND 4,489bn
−37.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.34%
+0.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 15bn
+169.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 628.2 777.2 1,140.9 1,943.1 1,370.3 1,818.4 1,671.6 2,305.8 1,607.2 1,996.6 2,501.8 2,243.7
Growth -19% -32% -41% +42% -25% +9% -28% +43% -20% -20% +12%
Net Income 4.5 0.2 3.4 7.2 3.7 -5.2 1.2 6.1 3.2 2.5 2.3 5.4
Net Margin 0.72% 0.02% 0.30% 0.37% 0.27% -0.29% 0.07% 0.26% 0.20% 0.12% 0.09% 0.24%

Drivers of KGM's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 68.1bn
Finance costs ↓ 61.8bn
Tax ↓ 3.5bn
Gross profit ↓ 96.5bn
Financial income ↓ 20.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.6bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 24.1bn
Finance costs ↓ 15.7bn
Other profit ↑ 1.0bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 1.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 33.7bn
Financial income ↓ 7.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 2.1% = 0.1% × 3.38 × 7.80
2026Q1 5.6% = 0.3% × 3.22 × 5.09

ROE rose from 2.1% to 5.6% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 0.3% +0.3pp Asset turnover: 3.22x -0.17x Leverage: 5.09x -2.71x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.34%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.34% +0.3pp
Gross Margin 11.75% +3.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.98% +3.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to 85.2 days.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 1.74%, rising 1.4pp. That translates to 1.74 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp and capital turnover rose 0.59x, while invested capital contracted by 730bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 1.74% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 1.74% +1.4pp
NOPAT Margin 0.35% +0.3pp
Capital Turnover 4.99x +0.59x
Average Invested Capital 900.4bn −729.8bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.40x equity, net debt at 0.58x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 233.2bn, roughly 35.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 897.4bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +224.8bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +771.5bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −98.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 6.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 12.2 days, DSO rose 2.5 days, and DPO fell 3.4 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +2.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 11.1 days +2.5 days
Inventory 76.6 days −12.2 days
Payables 2.5 days −3.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 85.2 days −6.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.58x and interest coverage only at 0.55x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.5% of total debt, cash equals 58.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 387.8bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.55x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.58x −3.49x
Interest Coverage 0.55x +0.39x
Cash / Debt 58.5% +46.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.5% −1.3pp
CFO / NI 61.29x −36.98x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 568.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -15.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +553.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +512.7bn.

CFO / net income was 61.29x.

After spending +16.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +925.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 941.6bn +381.0bn
Cash Capex 16.1bn +11.3bn
FCF TTM +925.5bn +369.7bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 30.1%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 1.7%.

Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 369.7bn versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
5,231.5 7,403.0 7,267.9 4,257.9 4,625.4
Cost of Goods Sold
4,670.3 6,773.9 6,586.0 3,794.2 0.0
Gross Profit
561.2 629.1 681.9 463.7 314.5
Financial Expenses
56.8 97.3 107.9 67.3 -32.1
Selling Expenses
445.5 501.5 528.1 376.2 -267.4
General and Administrative Expenses
72.3 66.4 65.5 34.4 -28.7
Operating Profit
22.4 15.1 40.8 20.8 17.0
Profit Before Tax
20.9 15.3 21.0 11.0 17.8
Net Income
14.5 5.2 12.5 5.7 13.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
14.5 5.2 12.5 5.7 13.8
Earnings per Share
569.00 206.00 492.00 223.00 543.00

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