VOC

Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Dầu Thực Vật Việt Nam - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2024Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 13.15%, −141.40pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS 453
BVPS 17,785
ROE 2.5%
ROA 2.4%
Profit Margin 13.2%
Asset Turnover 0.18x
Equity Mult. 1.03x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2024Q4 basis, VOC posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 419bn
−50.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
13.15%
−141.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 55bn
−95.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
154.9%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22
Revenue 234.2 69.2 76.9 38.7 90.1 84.3 474.7 195.0 599.6 452.0 250.0 311.4
Growth +238% -10% +99% -57% +7% -82% +143% -67% +33% +81% -20%
Net Income 26.5 9.5 12.3 6.9 105.7 12.7 -75.1 1,261.2 -127.7 13.9 75.4 0.1
Net Margin 11.31% 13.68% 15.94% 17.83% 117.41% 15.08% -15.83% 646.72% -21.29% 3.07% 30.16% 0.02%

Drivers of VOC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 194.9bn
Financial income ↓ 1,584.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher tax. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↑ 70.6bn
Financial income ↓ 10.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2023Q4 72.6% = 154.6% × 0.39 × 1.20
2024Q4 2.5% = 13.2% × 0.18 × 1.03

ROE fell from 72.6% to 2.5% — all three components weakened, with net margin being the main drag.

Net margin: 13.2% -141.4pp Asset turnover: 0.18x -0.21x Leverage: 1.03x -0.17x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 13.15%, losing 141.4pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 3.5pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 13.9pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 173.3pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 13.15% −141.4pp
Gross Margin 0.77% +13.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 9.85% +3.5pp
Non-core / Revenue 25.56% −173.2pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 173.2pp, financial result still accounts for 155.1% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 2.99%, losing 74.4pp. That translates to 2.99 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 141.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.27x, while invested capital rose by 152bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.99% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

ROIC 2.99% −74.4pp
NOPAT Margin 13.12% −141.5pp
Capital Turnover 0.23x −0.27x
Average Invested Capital 1,837.9bn +152.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.03x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.04x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 56.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +38.5bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +22.8bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −5.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 49.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 53.4 days, DSO fell 7.0 days, and DPO fell 10.8 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 115.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables 68.6 days −7.0 days
Inventory 48.9 days −53.4 days
Payables 1.8 days −10.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 115.7 days −49.6 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 40.1bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.04x and interest coverage at 274.93x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 0.0% of total debt, cash equals 1286.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 6.5bn.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.04x +0.26x
Interest Coverage 274.93x +164.42x
Cash / Debt 1286.1% −8211.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 0.0% −14.7pp
CFO / NI 1.85x +1.78x

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 40.1bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of -497.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +457.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +147.2bn.

CFO / net income was 1.85x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +101.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

CFO TTM 101.9bn +13.5bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn 0.0bn
FCF TTM +101.9bn +13.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.04x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 141.4 pp.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.04x of equity.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.85x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 154.9% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 13.15% after a 141.4pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
419.0 844.1 1,613.1 1,495.9 2,597.7
Cost of Goods Sold
416.3 955.1 1,747.6 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
2.7 -111.0 -134.5 65.7 86.3
Financial Expenses
0.3 17.8 11.3 -7.1 -20.1
Selling Expenses
16.3 23.3 29.3 -32.3 -42.2
General and Administrative Expenses
25.0 30.0 29.8 -32.7 -31.8
Operating Profit
64.8 1,513.6 -64.6 119.7 233.9
Profit Before Tax
65.0 1,513.5 -45.6 119.8 233.9
Net Income
51.9 1,304.6 -45.6 115.5 234.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
51.9 1,304.6 -45.6 115.5 233.3
Earnings per Share
426.00 10,711.00 -375.00 948.41 989.00

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