TCO
TCO Holdings ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Showing improvement
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TCO posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 59.3 | 239.3 | 395.2 | 488.4 | 1,819.2 | 1,134.4 | 1,081.0 | 492.3 | 0.4 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Growth | -75% | -39% | -19% | -73% | +60% | +5% | +120% | +121047% | -95% | -16% | +3% | — |
| Net Income | 0.2 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 33.2 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Net Margin | 0.29% | 1.59% | 1.36% | 6.80% | 0.24% | 0.45% | 0.22% | 1.78% | 1170.08% | 4.08% | 9.94% | 13.95% |
Drivers of TCO's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 13.0% to 12.0% — asset turnover weakened the most, though net margin and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 3.60%, rising 3.1pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 3.9pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 1.4pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.5pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 4.80x equity, net debt at 2.16x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 336.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 53.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 19.6 days, DSO rose 90.6 days, and DPO rose 57.0 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +53.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +90.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.16x and interest coverage only at 1.48x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 32.8% of total debt, cash equals 1.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 814.7bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 2.16x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 1.48x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 159.9bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of -580.9bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +421.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +446.4bn.
CFO / net income was -7.35x.
After spending +292.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −604.6bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2024Q4 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 3.1 pp. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.1%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 1.48x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.60% after expanding 3.1pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 17.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -7.35x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 1.48x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
3,538.2 | 29.5 | 1,386.2 | 242.6 | 170.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
3,439.6 | 23.4 | 1,366.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
98.6 | 6.1 | 19.5 | 28.8 | 36.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
47.4 | 0.2 | 5.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
4.2 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
29.9 | 10.5 | 16.4 | -52.1 | -19.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
34.9 | 8.6 | 44.3 | 53.5 | 19.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
33.8 | 9.0 | 44.1 | 55.0 | 21.2 |
|
Net Income
|
21.3 | 7.2 | 41.1 | 47.1 | 18.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
21.3 | 7.2 | 44.4 | 47.1 | 17.9 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
679.00 | 372.00 | 2,306.00 | 1,991.00 | 1,071.00 |
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