VRG
Phát triển Đô thị và Khu công nghiệp Cao su Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VRG is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6.9 | 94.7 | 20.6 | 9.5 | 9.2 | 75.9 | 6.6 | 26.5 | 4.6 | 524.7 | 5.2 | 14.6 |
| Growth | -93% | +360% | +117% | +3% | -88% | +1055% | -75% | +477% | -99% | +10075% | -65% | — |
| Net Income | -6.2 | 41.3 | 1.4 | -5.5 | -1.2 | 28.0 | -3.3 | 38.3 | -2.2 | 198.0 | -4.5 | 3.5 |
| Net Margin | -89.51% | 43.61% | 6.97% | -57.63% | -12.97% | 36.86% | -49.51% | 144.49% | -48.20% | 37.74% | -86.89% | 23.85% |
Drivers of VRG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 15.3% to 8.3% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 23.60%, losing 28.7pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 29.3pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 5.7pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.4pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 3.9pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.68x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.27x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 660.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.7 days, DSO rose 50.9 days, and DPO fell 611.2 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.
Working capital metrics in this industry should be read alongside business model specifics — DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by operational factors not reflected in raw numbers.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 123.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +50.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 45.0bn due to capex of 43.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Leverage should be read alongside project structure, regulated assets, or industry-specific capital recovery.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -3.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 126.9bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +123.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +90.8bn.
CFO / net income was -0.06x.
After spending +43.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −45.0bn.
FCF and CFO in this industry should be read alongside investment cycles and business model specifics.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 28.7 pp. The next watchpoint is capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.27x.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.27x of equity.
Watchpoint: Capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 23.60% after a 28.7pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
133.9 | 113.6 | 548.8 | 122.8 | 17.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
51.1 | 8.5 | 227.6 | 41.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
82.8 | 105.1 | 321.2 | 80.9 | 8.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
4.2 | 2.7 | 22.8 | 3.2 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
36.2 | 28.0 | 60.2 | 21.1 | -11.6 |
|
Operating Profit
|
46.3 | 82.5 | 240.0 | 62.9 | 5.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
46.0 | 81.8 | 239.4 | 62.9 | 5.2 |
|
Net Income
|
36.0 | 58.7 | 186.6 | 49.9 | 4.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
36.0 | 58.7 | 186.6 | 49.9 | 4.0 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,390.00 | 2,266.00 | 7,206.00 | 1,896.00 | 155.00 |
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