VRG

Phát triển Đô thị và Khu công nghiệp Cao su Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 23.60%, −28.74pp YoY
Price
16,200
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 13.51x
P/B 1.22x
EPS 1,199
BVPS 13,282
ROE 8.3%
ROA 3.3%
Profit Margin 23.6%
Asset Turnover 0.14x
Equity Mult. 2.53x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VRG is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

TTM REVENUE
VND 132bn
+11.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
23.60%
−28.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 31bn
−49.8%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 6.9 94.7 20.6 9.5 9.2 75.9 6.6 26.5 4.6 524.7 5.2 14.6
Growth -93% +360% +117% +3% -88% +1055% -75% +477% -99% +10075% -65%
Net Income -6.2 41.3 1.4 -5.5 -1.2 28.0 -3.3 38.3 -2.2 198.0 -4.5 3.5
Net Margin -89.51% 43.61% 6.97% -57.63% -12.97% 36.86% -49.51% 144.49% -48.20% 37.74% -86.89% 23.85%

Drivers of VRG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 26.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 9.2bn
Financial income ↓ 4.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↑ 2.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 1.2bn
Financial income ↓ 0.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 15.3% = 52.3% × 0.12 × 2.50
2026Q1 8.3% = 23.6% × 0.14 × 2.53

ROE fell from 15.3% to 8.3% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 23.6% -28.7pp Asset turnover: 0.14x +0.02x Leverage: 2.53x +0.03x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 23.60%, losing 28.7pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 29.3pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 5.7pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.4pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 3.9pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 23.60% −28.7pp
Gross Margin 62.04% −29.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 32.92% +5.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.68x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.27x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 660.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.7 days, DSO rose 50.9 days, and DPO fell 611.2 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

Working capital metrics in this industry should be read alongside business model specifics — DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by operational factors not reflected in raw numbers.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 123.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +50.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 208.0 days +50.9 days
Inventory 1.2 days −1.7 days
Payables 86.0 days −611.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 123.1 days +660.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 45.0bn due to capex of 43.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage should be read alongside project structure, regulated assets, or industry-specific capital recovery.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.27x −0.09x
Interest Coverage
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI -0.06x −0.13x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -3.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 126.9bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +123.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +90.8bn.

CFO / net income was -0.06x.

After spending +43.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −45.0bn.

FCF and CFO in this industry should be read alongside investment cycles and business model specifics.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 1.9bn −6.4bn
Cash Capex 43.1bn +42.4bn
FCF TTM −45.0bn −48.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 28.7 pp. The next watchpoint is capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.27x.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.27x of equity.

Watchpoint: Capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 23.60% after a 28.7pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
133.9 113.6 548.8 122.8 17.8
Cost of Goods Sold
51.1 8.5 227.6 41.9 0.0
Gross Profit
82.8 105.1 321.2 80.9 8.3
Financial Expenses
0.2 0.8 0.9 -0.0 -0.0
Selling Expenses
4.2 2.7 22.8 3.2 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
36.2 28.0 60.2 21.1 -11.6
Operating Profit
46.3 82.5 240.0 62.9 5.8
Profit Before Tax
46.0 81.8 239.4 62.9 5.2
Net Income
36.0 58.7 186.6 49.9 4.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
36.0 58.7 186.6 49.9 4.0
Earnings per Share
1,390.00 2,266.00 7,206.00 1,896.00 155.00

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