SIP

Đầu tư Sài Gòn VRG ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

The pre-tax profit mix still needs monitoring Net financial result/PBT 25.65%
Price
50,800
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 9.02x
P/B 1.99x
EPS 5,629
BVPS 25,506
ROE 23.8%
ROA 4.9%
Profit Margin 15.4%
Asset Turnover 0.32x
Equity Mult. 4.85x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SIP is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — profit is at an all-time high. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 8,827bn
+11.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
16.77%
−1.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 1,480bn
+3.9%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 2,164.8 2,299.4 2,233.7 2,129.5 1,941.2 2,063.9 1,977.0 1,937.1 1,826.2 1,911.5 1,704.7 1,663.1
Growth -6% +3% +5% +10% -6% +4% +2% +6% -4% +12% +3%
Net Income 356.6 400.1 381.7 342.0 402.3 375.7 313.6 332.6 257.9 373.1 203.2 263.1
Net Margin 16.47% 17.40% 17.09% 16.06% 20.72% 18.20% 15.86% 17.17% 14.12% 19.52% 11.92% 15.82%

Drivers of SIP's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 260.4bn
Other profit ↑ 87.8bn
Minority interests ↓ 38.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 102.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 74.4bn
Financial income ↓ 70.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 36.8bn
Minority interests ↓ 28.4bn
Tax ↓ 7.1bn
Financial income ↓ 38.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 25.4bn
Selling expenses ↑ 17.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 29.7% = 18.0% × 0.33 × 5.07
2026Q1 25.8% = 16.8% × 0.32 × 4.85

ROE fell from 29.7% to 25.8% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.

Net margin: 16.8% -1.2pp Asset turnover: 0.32x -0.01x Leverage: 4.85x -0.22x

Is the profit sustainable?

Start with profitability and earnings quality.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 16.77%, falling 1.2pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 0.7pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 1.5pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 1.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 2.8pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 16.77% −1.2pp
Gross Margin 15.89% +1.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 2.07% +0.7pp
Non-core / Revenue 6.49% −1.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Contribution from financial result

Profit includes a contribution from financial result (31.0% of PBT), not dominant but worth monitoring across periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC of 14.6% may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 14.64%, losing 5.3pp. That translates to 14.64 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 2.0pp and capital turnover fell 0.19x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 2,474bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 14.64% −5.3pp
NOPAT Margin 15.87% −2.0pp
Capital Turnover 0.92x −0.19x
Average Invested Capital 9,566.9bn +2,473.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage runs above the real estate sector average — handover cycles warrant monitoring — liabilities at 3.93x equity, net debt at 0.65x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,555.1bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −188.2bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +69.2bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +1,674.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 7.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 6.1 days, DSO fell 1.0 days, and DPO fell 0.1 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Working capital metrics in this industry should be read alongside business model specifics — DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by operational factors not reflected in raw numbers.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 20.0 days −1.0 days
Inventory 14.1 days −6.1 days
Payables 12.2 days −0.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 21.9 days −7.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.65x and interest coverage at 7.12x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 78.3% of total debt, cash equals 13.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 4,659.2bn.

Leverage should be read alongside project structure, regulated assets, or industry-specific capital recovery.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 78.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 13.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.65x −0.03x
Interest Coverage 7.12x −5.04x
Cash / Debt 13.3% +1.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 78.3% +5.0pp
CFO / NI 1.74x +1.33x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 2,439.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -3,049.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +609.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +808.9bn.

CFO / net income was 1.74x.

After spending +604.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +1,762.2bn.

FCF and CFO in this industry should be read alongside investment cycles and business model specifics.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 2,366.8bn +1,853.0bn
Cash Capex 604.6bn +89.1bn
FCF TTM +1,762.2bn +1,763.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 25.6%. Warning and risk signals are not yet decisive enough to shift the picture.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.74x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 25.6% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
8,596.2 7,801.2 6,676.5 6,034.5 5,577.3
Cost of Goods Sold
7,252.8 6,706.0 5,746.1 5,133.4 0.0
Gross Profit
1,343.4 1,095.1 930.4 901.1 774.0
Financial Expenses
220.0 116.5 68.7 29.6 -16.5
Selling Expenses
75.7 21.6 13.1 15.2 -11.9
General and Administrative Expenses
96.5 88.5 95.6 92.0 -86.9
Operating Profit
1,792.6 1,555.8 1,263.4 1,239.1 1,105.0
Profit Before Tax
1,838.5 1,571.7 1,274.3 1,245.5 1,111.3
Net Income
1,467.1 1,278.8 1,003.7 1,009.9 904.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
1,322.9 1,170.2 926.9 977.2 833.4
Earnings per Share
4,972.00 5,136.00 4,574.00 10,530.00 9,097.00

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