VPG

Đầu tư Thương mại Xuất nhập khẩu Việt Phát ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −8.17%, −8.91pp YoY
Price
3,010
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E -0.33x
P/B 0.27x
EPS -9,053
BVPS 11,003
ROE -50.7%
ROA -13.3%
Profit Margin -8.3%
Asset Turnover 1.61x
Equity Mult. 3.81x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VPG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 7,952bn
−54.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
−8.17%
−8.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 650bn
−594.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
33.1%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 191.2 936.6 2,454.1 4,370.4 4,624.6 6,259.1 3,464.6 3,289.1 3,244.3 734.3 2,034.9 1,774.8
Growth -80% -62% -44% -5% -26% +81% +5% +1% +342% -64% +15%
Net Income -31.9 -418.9 -225.2 26.3 20.8 95.6 12.9 2.0 1.8 -65.0 24.6 25.5
Net Margin -16.68% -44.73% -9.18% 0.60% 0.45% 1.53% 0.37% 0.06% 0.05% -8.85% 1.21% 1.44%

Drivers of VPG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 150.9bn
Gross profit ↓ 760.0bn
Financial income ↓ 109.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 29.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 17.3bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 16.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 96.9bn
Financial income ↓ 23.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 8.4% = 0.7% × 2.48 × 4.57
2026Q1 -50.1% = -8.2% × 1.61 × 3.81

ROE fell from 8.4% to -50.1% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: -8.2% -8.9pp Asset turnover: 1.61x -0.87x Leverage: 3.81x -0.76x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -8.17%, losing 8.9pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 5.2pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.9pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -8.17% −8.9pp
Gross Margin -1.69% −5.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 2.86% +1.0pp
Non-core / Revenue -3.26% −2.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 2.6pp, financial result still accounts for 41.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -15.81%, losing 19.1pp. That translates to -15.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 7.8pp and capital turnover fell 2.13x, while invested capital contracted by 496bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -15.81% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC -15.81% −19.1pp
NOPAT Margin -7.02% −7.8pp
Capital Turnover 2.25x −2.13x
Average Invested Capital 3,529.4bn −496.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.32x equity, net debt at 1.09x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 406.7bn, roughly 12.2% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2,443.5bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +782.1bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +2,129.1bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −467.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 34.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 14.1 days, DSO rose 32.5 days, and DPO rose 11.8 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 110.8 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +32.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 72.5 days +32.5 days
Inventory 68.9 days +14.1 days
Payables 30.6 days +11.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 110.8 days +34.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.09x and interest coverage only at -2.08x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 915.7bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.09x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -2.08x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.09x −1.10x
Interest Coverage -2.08x −2.65x
Cash / Debt 1.6% −19.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% +3.8pp
CFO / NI -3.26x −4.43x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 759.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 520.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,279.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +2,785.0bn.

CFO / net income was -3.26x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 2,140.5bn +2,000.9bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 8.9 pp.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 33.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -3.26x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -8.17% after a 8.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
12,385.5 16,257.2 6,337.7 5,524.7 3,863.6
Cost of Goods Sold
12,423.0 15,620.0 5,951.4 5,259.2 0.0
Gross Profit
-37.5 637.2 386.3 265.5 673.9
Financial Expenses
289.6 313.5 251.2 148.9 -50.8
Selling Expenses
107.3 238.3 106.0 85.7 -113.6
General and Administrative Expenses
165.8 105.9 71.6 76.9 -27.3
Operating Profit
-509.7 145.8 30.2 33.1 507.2
Profit Before Tax
-562.7 139.1 27.2 80.7 527.6
Net Income
-597.0 108.8 19.4 62.5 421.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
-606.8 98.8 19.5 62.5 421.3
Earnings per Share
-6,863.00 1,061.00 220.00 741.00 9,185.00

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