VPG
Đầu tư Thương mại Xuất nhập khẩu Việt Phát ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VPG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 191.2 | 936.6 | 2,454.1 | 4,370.4 | 4,624.6 | 6,259.1 | 3,464.6 | 3,289.1 | 3,244.3 | 734.3 | 2,034.9 | 1,774.8 |
| Growth | -80% | -62% | -44% | -5% | -26% | +81% | +5% | +1% | +342% | -64% | +15% | — |
| Net Income | -31.9 | -418.9 | -225.2 | 26.3 | 20.8 | 95.6 | 12.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -65.0 | 24.6 | 25.5 |
| Net Margin | -16.68% | -44.73% | -9.18% | 0.60% | 0.45% | 1.53% | 0.37% | 0.06% | 0.05% | -8.85% | 1.21% | 1.44% |
Drivers of VPG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 8.4% to -50.1% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -8.17%, losing 8.9pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 5.2pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.9pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 2.6pp, financial result still accounts for 41.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -15.81%, losing 19.1pp. That translates to -15.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 7.8pp and capital turnover fell 2.13x, while invested capital contracted by 496bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -15.81% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.32x equity, net debt at 1.09x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 406.7bn, roughly 12.2% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2,443.5bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 34.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 14.1 days, DSO rose 32.5 days, and DPO rose 11.8 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 110.8 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +32.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.09x and interest coverage only at -2.08x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 915.7bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.09x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is -2.08x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 759.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 520.3bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,279.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +2,785.0bn.
CFO / net income was -3.26x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 8.9 pp.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 33.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -3.26x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -8.17% after a 8.9pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
12,385.5 | 16,257.2 | 6,337.7 | 5,524.7 | 3,863.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
12,423.0 | 15,620.0 | 5,951.4 | 5,259.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
-37.5 | 637.2 | 386.3 | 265.5 | 673.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
289.6 | 313.5 | 251.2 | 148.9 | -50.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
107.3 | 238.3 | 106.0 | 85.7 | -113.6 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
165.8 | 105.9 | 71.6 | 76.9 | -27.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-509.7 | 145.8 | 30.2 | 33.1 | 507.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-562.7 | 139.1 | 27.2 | 80.7 | 527.6 |
|
Net Income
|
-597.0 | 108.8 | 19.4 | 62.5 | 421.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-606.8 | 98.8 | 19.5 | 62.5 | 421.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-6,863.00 | 1,061.00 | 220.00 | 741.00 | 9,185.00 |
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