NKG

Thép Nam Kim ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 0.48%, −2.77pp YoY
Price
13,650
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 39.63x
P/B 0.80x
EPS 344
BVPS 17,108
ROE 2.0%
ROA 1.0%
Profit Margin 1.1%
Asset Turnover 0.92x
Equity Mult. 1.99x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NKG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 13,979bn
−28.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.10%
−0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 153bn
−58.4%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
59.4%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 3,261.4 3,136.5 3,773.1 3,808.5 4,090.1 4,469.1 5,188.3 5,660.5 5,291.1 4,459.2 4,262.1 5,500.0
Growth +4% -17% -1% -7% -8% -14% -8% +7% +19% +5% -23%
Net Income 21.5 -9.3 49.5 91.6 65.4 18.4 64.8 219.6 150.1 22.4 23.7 125.4
Net Margin 0.66% -0.30% 1.31% 2.40% 1.60% 0.41% 1.25% 3.88% 2.84% 0.50% 0.56% 2.28%

Drivers of NKG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 499.8bn
Finance costs ↓ 112.7bn
Other profit ↑ 105.0bn
Tax ↓ 51.9bn
Gross profit ↓ 920.6bn
Financial income ↓ 57.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 66.9bn
Financial income ↑ 50.1bn
Tax ↓ 12.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 10.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 178.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 5.6% = 1.9% × 1.43 × 2.08
2026Q1 2.0% = 1.1% × 0.92 × 1.99

ROE fell from 5.6% to 2.0% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: 1.1% -0.8pp Asset turnover: 0.92x -0.50x Leverage: 1.99x -0.08x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 1.10%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.5pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.6pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.8pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.10% −0.8pp
Gross Margin 4.34% −3.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.49% −1.6pp
Non-core / Revenue 0.47% +1.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Other income is supporting margin

Other income accounts for 59.4% of PBT and lifted net margin by 1.0pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 0.48%, losing 2.8pp. That translates to 0.48 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 1.4pp and capital turnover fell 0.65x, while invested capital rose by 1,782bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 0.48% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 0.48% −2.8pp
NOPAT Margin 0.45% −1.4pp
Capital Turnover 1.08x −0.65x
Average Invested Capital 13,003.3bn +1,782.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.16x equity, net debt at 0.83x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 5,303.1bn, roughly 32.2% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,120.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −191.5bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +1,509.4bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −197.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 20.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 20.4 days, DSO fell 0.7 days, and DPO fell 1.1 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 154.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +20.4 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 32.1 days −0.7 days
Inventory 142.1 days +20.4 days
Payables 20.2 days −1.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 154.0 days +20.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2,071.9bn due to capex of 3,442.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.83x and interest coverage only at 0.24x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 66.6% of total debt, cash equals 8.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,971.8bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.24x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 66.6% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.83x +0.24x
Interest Coverage 0.24x −0.82x
Cash / Debt 8.6% −13.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 66.6% −30.6pp
CFO / NI 8.89x +6.82x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,326.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -3,028.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,701.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2,149.9bn.

CFO / net income was 8.89x.

After spending +3,442.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2,071.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 1,370.2bn +606.7bn
Cash Capex 3,442.0bn +2,324.7bn
FCF TTM −2,071.9bn −1,718.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -23.5%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 0.5%.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 8.89x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for -23.5% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
14,808.1 20,609.0 18,596.0 23,071.2 28,173.4
Cost of Goods Sold
14,023.0 18,777.2 17,483.7 21,589.9 0.0
Gross Profit
785.2 1,831.8 1,112.3 1,481.4 4,269.9
Financial Expenses
317.8 477.1 426.2 503.0 -397.5
Selling Expenses
431.1 1,017.6 609.1 1,202.3 -1,398.0
General and Administrative Expenses
123.7 120.2 130.3 185.8 -122.7
Operating Profit
126.8 557.5 177.1 -106.8 2,550.9
Profit Before Tax
240.8 558.2 177.3 -106.9 2,562.0
Net Income
197.1 453.0 117.4 -124.7 2,225.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
197.1 453.0 117.4 -124.7 2,225.3
Earnings per Share
452.00 1,434.00 446.00 -474.00 6,772.00

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