NKG
Thép Nam Kim ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NKG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,261.4 | 3,136.5 | 3,773.1 | 3,808.5 | 4,090.1 | 4,469.1 | 5,188.3 | 5,660.5 | 5,291.1 | 4,459.2 | 4,262.1 | 5,500.0 |
| Growth | +4% | -17% | -1% | -7% | -8% | -14% | -8% | +7% | +19% | +5% | -23% | — |
| Net Income | 21.5 | -9.3 | 49.5 | 91.6 | 65.4 | 18.4 | 64.8 | 219.6 | 150.1 | 22.4 | 23.7 | 125.4 |
| Net Margin | 0.66% | -0.30% | 1.31% | 2.40% | 1.60% | 0.41% | 1.25% | 3.88% | 2.84% | 0.50% | 0.56% | 2.28% |
Drivers of NKG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 5.6% to 2.0% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 1.10%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.5pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.6pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.8pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Other income accounts for 59.4% of PBT and lifted net margin by 1.0pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 0.48%, losing 2.8pp. That translates to 0.48 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 1.4pp and capital turnover fell 0.65x, while invested capital rose by 1,782bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 0.48% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.16x equity, net debt at 0.83x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 5,303.1bn, roughly 32.2% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,120.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 20.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 20.4 days, DSO fell 0.7 days, and DPO fell 1.1 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 154.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DIO increased by +20.4 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2,071.9bn due to capex of 3,442.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.83x and interest coverage only at 0.24x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 66.6% of total debt, cash equals 8.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,971.8bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.24x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 66.6% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,326.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -3,028.8bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,701.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2,149.9bn.
CFO / net income was 8.89x.
After spending +3,442.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2,071.9bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -23.5%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 0.5%.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 8.89x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for -23.5% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
14,808.1 | 20,609.0 | 18,596.0 | 23,071.2 | 28,173.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
14,023.0 | 18,777.2 | 17,483.7 | 21,589.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
785.2 | 1,831.8 | 1,112.3 | 1,481.4 | 4,269.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
317.8 | 477.1 | 426.2 | 503.0 | -397.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
431.1 | 1,017.6 | 609.1 | 1,202.3 | -1,398.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
123.7 | 120.2 | 130.3 | 185.8 | -122.7 |
|
Operating Profit
|
126.8 | 557.5 | 177.1 | -106.8 | 2,550.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
240.8 | 558.2 | 177.3 | -106.9 | 2,562.0 |
|
Net Income
|
197.1 | 453.0 | 117.4 | -124.7 | 2,225.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
197.1 | 453.0 | 117.4 | -124.7 | 2,225.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
452.00 | 1,434.00 | 446.00 | -474.00 | 6,772.00 |
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