GDA

Tôn Đông Á ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 2.75%, −0.19pp YoY
Price
13,700
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 7.10x
P/B 0.51x
EPS 1,930
BVPS 26,778
ROE 6.7%
ROA 2.2%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Asset Turnover 1.25x
Equity Mult. 3.05x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, GDA is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 14,923bn
−21.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.74%
+0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 260bn
−15.9%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 3,589.0 3,396.6 3,680.3 4,256.9 3,976.6 3,888.1 5,162.6 5,986.1 4,099.1 4,620.6 4,087.5 4,786.9
Growth +6% -8% -14% +7% +2% -25% -14% +46% -11% +13% -15%
Net Income 50.7 36.6 85.0 87.7 62.7 21.3 53.7 171.3 95.4 19.7 59.6 122.6
Net Margin 1.41% 1.08% 2.31% 2.06% 1.58% 0.55% 1.04% 2.86% 2.33% 0.43% 1.46% 2.56%

Drivers of GDA's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 597.2bn
Tax ↓ 29.5bn
Finance costs ↓ 6.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 507.9bn
Financial income ↓ 96.7bn
Other profit ↓ 38.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 113.2bn
Deferred tax ↓ 2.2bn
Financial income ↑ 1.8bn
Minority interests ↓ 1.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 122.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 3.9bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 8.2% = 1.6% × 1.49 × 3.38
2026Q1 6.6% = 1.7% × 1.25 × 3.05

ROE fell from 8.2% to 6.6% — leverage weakened the most, though net margin still provided support.

Net margin: 1.7% +0.1pp Asset turnover: 1.25x -0.24x Leverage: 3.05x -0.33x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 1.74%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.74% +0.1pp
Gross Margin 5.88% −1.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.28% −2.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 2.75%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 2.75 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, but capital turnover fell 0.43x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.75% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.75% −0.2pp
NOPAT Margin 1.75% +0.3pp
Capital Turnover 1.57x −0.43x
Average Invested Capital 9,522.9bn −19.9bn

Balance Sheet

Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.00x equity, net debt at 1.31x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 3,582.3bn, roughly 30.1% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,375.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −247.7bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +1,510.7bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +112.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 8.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.7 days, DSO rose 9.1 days, and DPO rose 1.0 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 94.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +9.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 34.3 days +9.1 days
Inventory 99.3 days +0.7 days
Payables 38.9 days +1.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 94.7 days +8.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.31x and interest coverage only at 0.94x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 96.7% of total debt, cash equals 10.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 5,825.5bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.31x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.31x −0.24x
Interest Coverage 0.94x −0.01x
Cash / Debt 10.0% −1.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 96.7% −2.0pp
CFO / NI 4.29x +5.95x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 511.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 141.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +653.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +736.0bn.

CFO / net income was 4.29x.

After spending +330.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +791.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 1,121.8bn +1,633.2bn
Cash Capex 330.4bn +220.9bn
FCF TTM +791.4bn +1,412.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.7%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.29x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.29x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022
Net Revenue
15,310.4 19,135.8 17,434.6 21,614.5
Cost of Goods Sold
14,310.9 17,686.8 16,305.4 20,433.4
Gross Profit
999.5 1,449.1 1,129.1 1,181.1
Financial Expenses
366.9 353.5 371.3 503.5
Selling Expenses
481.8 1,027.1 764.3 1,245.0
General and Administrative Expenses
110.6 111.5 63.1 140.7
Operating Profit
360.2 392.9 309.0 -300.9
Profit Before Tax
355.9 428.1 305.9 -292.6
Net Income
271.9 341.8 283.6 -276.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
271.8 341.9 283.6 -276.5
Earnings per Share
1,823.00 2,484.00 2,472.00 -2,466.00

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