GDA
Tôn Đông Á ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼ Slightly negative
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, GDA is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,589.0 | 3,396.6 | 3,680.3 | 4,256.9 | 3,976.6 | 3,888.1 | 5,162.6 | 5,986.1 | 4,099.1 | 4,620.6 | 4,087.5 | 4,786.9 |
| Growth | +6% | -8% | -14% | +7% | +2% | -25% | -14% | +46% | -11% | +13% | -15% | — |
| Net Income | 50.7 | 36.6 | 85.0 | 87.7 | 62.7 | 21.3 | 53.7 | 171.3 | 95.4 | 19.7 | 59.6 | 122.6 |
| Net Margin | 1.41% | 1.08% | 2.31% | 2.06% | 1.58% | 0.55% | 1.04% | 2.86% | 2.33% | 0.43% | 1.46% | 2.56% |
Drivers of GDA's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 8.2% to 6.6% — leverage weakened the most, though net margin still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 1.74%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 2.75%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 2.75 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, but capital turnover fell 0.43x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 2.75% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.00x equity, net debt at 1.31x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 3,582.3bn, roughly 30.1% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,375.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 8.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.7 days, DSO rose 9.1 days, and DPO rose 1.0 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 94.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +9.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.31x and interest coverage only at 0.94x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 96.7% of total debt, cash equals 10.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 5,825.5bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.31x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 511.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 141.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +653.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +736.0bn.
CFO / net income was 4.29x.
After spending +330.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +791.4bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.7%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.29x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.29x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
15,310.4 | 19,135.8 | 17,434.6 | 21,614.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
14,310.9 | 17,686.8 | 16,305.4 | 20,433.4 |
|
Gross Profit
|
999.5 | 1,449.1 | 1,129.1 | 1,181.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
366.9 | 353.5 | 371.3 | 503.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
481.8 | 1,027.1 | 764.3 | 1,245.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
110.6 | 111.5 | 63.1 | 140.7 |
|
Operating Profit
|
360.2 | 392.9 | 309.0 | -300.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
355.9 | 428.1 | 305.9 | -292.6 |
|
Net Income
|
271.9 | 341.8 | 283.6 | -276.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
271.8 | 341.9 | 283.6 | -276.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,823.00 | 2,484.00 | 2,472.00 | -2,466.00 |
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