HSG
Tập đoàn Hoa Sen ·HOSE ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HSG is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8,383.1 | 8,356.6 | 9,509.2 | 8,451.9 | 10,221.7 | 10,108.7 | 10,840.4 | 9,248.2 | 9,073.2 | 8,106.6 | 8,645.8 | 6,980.9 |
| Growth | +0% | -12% | +13% | -17% | +1% | -7% | +17% | +2% | +12% | -6% | +24% | — |
| Net Income | 62.4 | 84.7 | 273.8 | 205.4 | 165.5 | -185.9 | 273.4 | 318.9 | 103.4 | 438.4 | 14.2 | 250.6 |
| Net Margin | 0.74% | 1.01% | 2.88% | 2.43% | 1.62% | -1.84% | 2.52% | 3.45% | 1.14% | 5.41% | 0.16% | 3.59% |
Drivers of HSG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 5.6% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to 1.80%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.1pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 3.42%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 3.42 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, but capital turnover fell 0.58x, while invested capital rose by 1,396bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 3.42% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.67x equity, net debt at 0.46x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 8,203.7bn, roughly 43.3% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,458.5bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 21.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 25.3 days, DSO rose 0.6 days, and DPO rose 4.3 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 112.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +0.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 93.3bn due to capex of 2,840.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.46x and interest coverage at 2.43x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 14.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,143.2bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 14.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 3,685.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -2,616.7bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,068.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1,242.4bn.
CFO / net income was 4.39x.
After spending +2,840.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −93.3bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.39x. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 3.4%.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.39x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
36,537.8 | 39,271.9 | 31,650.7 | 49,710.6 | 56,560.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
32,017.8 | 35,008.2 | 28,590.0 | 44,771.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
4,520.0 | 4,263.7 | 3,060.6 | 4,938.7 | 9,504.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
272.3 | 254.5 | 314.2 | 520.9 | -598.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
3,108.9 | 3,344.7 | 2,476.9 | 3,832.6 | -3,975.9 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
665.7 | 495.6 | 407.0 | 522.2 | -454.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
754.0 | 510.6 | 96.1 | 329.8 | 4,978.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
825.3 | 551.2 | 146.0 | 381.1 | 4,979.7 |
|
Net Income
|
735.0 | 514.7 | 30.1 | 251.3 | 4,379.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
735.0 | 514.6 | 30.0 | 251.3 | 4,379.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,137.00 | 802.00 | 47.00 | 405.00 | 8,873.94 |
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