HPG
Tập đoàn Hòa Phát ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲▲ Improving positively
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HPG has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 52,900.8 | 46,176.5 | 36,407.4 | 35,910.5 | 37,621.7 | 34,491.0 | 33,956.3 | 39,555.5 | 30,852.4 | 34,383.8 | 28,484.1 | 29,496.4 |
| Growth | +15% | +27% | +1% | -5% | +9% | +2% | -14% | +28% | -10% | +21% | -3% | — |
| Net Income | 9,055.9 | 3,888.3 | 4,012.3 | 4,264.5 | 3,349.8 | 2,809.6 | 3,021.7 | 3,319.6 | 2,869.2 | 2,969.0 | 2,000.4 | 1,447.8 |
| Net Margin | 17.12% | 8.42% | 11.02% | 11.88% | 8.90% | 8.15% | 8.90% | 8.39% | 9.30% | 8.63% | 7.02% | 4.91% |
Drivers of HPG's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 11.2% to 16.5% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 12.38%, rising 3.8pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 2.4pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.3pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to 85.2 days.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to 10.08%, rising 3.4pp. That translates to 10.08 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 3.8pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; while invested capital rose by 24,115bn.
Capital efficiency improved through NOPAT margin — this is a quality-led improvement when operating profit leads.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.97x equity, net debt at 0.57x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 52,828.2bn, roughly 20.5% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2,723.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 17.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 15.4 days, DSO rose 1.6 days, and DPO rose 3.2 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +1.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.57x and interest coverage at 4.51x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 69.3% of total debt, cash equals 12.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 90,616.8bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 69.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 12.6%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 17,365.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -25,814.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +8,448.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +9,861.9bn.
CFO / net income was 1.28x.
After spending +25,069.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +1,891.2bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 3.8 pp. Warning and risk signals are not yet decisive enough to shift the picture.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 12.38% after expanding 3.8pp versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
156,116.1 | 138,855.1 | 118,953.0 | 141,409.3 | 149,679.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
131,618.3 | 120,357.6 | 106,015.2 | 124,645.8 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
24,497.8 | 18,497.5 | 12,937.8 | 16,763.4 | 41,108.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4,603.6 | 3,966.6 | 5,191.5 | 7,026.7 | -3,740.9 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2,633.6 | 2,337.3 | 1,961.4 | 2,665.8 | -2,120.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
1,436.5 | 1,545.5 | 1,307.3 | 1,019.4 | -1,324.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
17,905.8 | 13,267.0 | 7,650.8 | 9,794.0 | 37,008.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
18,040.6 | 13,693.5 | 7,792.7 | 9,922.9 | 37,056.8 |
|
Net Income
|
15,514.9 | 12,020.0 | 6,800.4 | 8,444.4 | 34,521.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
15,453.2 | 12,021.4 | 6,835.1 | 8,483.5 | 34,478.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,973.00 | 1,751.00 | 1,117.00 | 1,452.00 | 7,708.19 |
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