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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 2/2026

VGS

Ống thép Việt - Đức VG PIPE

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 244.3bn, rose 84.8bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher associates income and higher gross profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher selling expenses, lower financial income, and higher finance costs. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.39x
P/B
0.78x
EPS
3,846
BVPS
21,736
ROE
19.6%
ROA
7.9%
Market price
16,900
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, VGS is improving on both growth and profitability, painting a notably more positive picture versus the same period — profit is at an all-time high. When both scale and efficiency improve together, this is typically a sign of quality growth.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Associates income
  2. Gross profit
  3. Selling expenses
  4. Financial income
  5. Finance costs
  6. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue2,365.41,701.21,644.31,767.22,120.31,786.81,639.61,907.2
LNST57.845.377.563.834.941.074.29.5
Net margin2.44%2.66%4.71%3.61%1.64%2.29%4.52%0.50%

Revenue

2,365bn

Net income

58bn

Net margin

2.44%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 0.3% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from −7% to +12%.

2 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
7,478bn
+0.3%
Latest quarter YoY
+12%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▲

Net margin edged up to 3.27%, rising 1.1pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 0.6pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.3pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.3pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Net Margin
3.27%
+1.1pp
Gross Margin
4.24%
+0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue
1.49%
+0.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 440.7bn against investing cash flow of -305.6bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +135.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +210.5bn.

CFO / net income was 0,37 lần.

After spending +124.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −34.7bn.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 99% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −5.1%, other profit at +0.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
0.6%
low
Net financial / PBT
−5.1%
Other profit / PBT
0.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲▲

ROIC expanded to 12.88%, rising 2.8pp. That translates to 12.88 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 1.1pp, with capital turnover fell 0.74x; while invested capital rose by 303bn.

Capital efficiency improved through NOPAT margin — this is a quality-led improvement when operating profit leads.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 4.3 days, DSO fell 1.3 days, and DPO rose 3.5 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +4.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.3% +1.1pp
Asset turnover 2.41x -0.62x
Financial leverage 2.49x +0.21x
ROE 19.6% +4.9pp

ROE rose from 14.7% to 19.6% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 34.7bn due to capex of 124.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.89x and interest coverage at 8.65x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 9.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,086.1bn.

Net Debt / Equity
0.89x
+0.64x
Interest Coverage
8.65x
−0.53x
Cash / Debt
9.2%
−46.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
100.0%
+31.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 9.2%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

●

The asset structure shows capital being allocated increasingly efficiently. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.80x equity, net debt at 0.89x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 531.4bn, roughly 22.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 73.2bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 1.1 pp. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 8.65x.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.27% after expanding 1.1pp versus the same period last year.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.89x and a thin cash buffer.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +0,3% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 3.27% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 440.7bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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