TRC
Cao su Tây Ninh ·HOSE ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TRC posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — profit is at an all-time high. What remains unclear is which side will dominate in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 275.4 | 246.3 | 239.3 | 132.1 | 226.1 | 295.9 | 220.7 | 90.5 | 145.5 | 235.1 | 171.6 | 69.0 |
| Growth | +12% | +3% | +81% | -42% | -24% | +34% | +144% | -38% | -38% | +37% | +149% | — |
| Net Income | 99.7 | 37.5 | 117.3 | 34.9 | 70.4 | 120.1 | 73.1 | 12.8 | 15.4 | 49.7 | 12.5 | 7.0 |
| Net Margin | 36.21% | 15.21% | 49.04% | 26.40% | 31.13% | 40.59% | 33.13% | 14.10% | 10.57% | 21.14% | 7.31% | 10.13% |
Drivers of TRC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 15.2% to 13.8% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Start with profitability and earnings quality.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 32.41%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 7.9pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 3.2pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 6.6pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.4pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Profit includes a contribution from other income (39.8% of PBT), not dominant but worth monitoring across periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.13x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.14x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 44.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.5 days, DSO fell 0.3 days, and DPO rose 1.1 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
Watchpoints
DIO increased by +0.5 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 205.1bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.14x and interest coverage at 2360.26x.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 205.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -19.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +185.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +57.2bn.
CFO / net income was 0.66x.
After spending +11.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +179.2bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.14x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 9.9%.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.14x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 9.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.66x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
843.8 | 744.1 | 562.7 | 523.5 | 417.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
550.0 | 473.3 | 447.9 | 417.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
293.8 | 270.9 | 114.8 | 106.5 | 91.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.5 | 10.6 | 16.1 | 12.5 | -6.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
9.1 | 10.6 | 8.3 | 7.2 | -4.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
96.8 | 48.1 | 44.9 | 33.1 | -33.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
216.2 | 208.9 | 58.5 | 61.8 | 62.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
270.1 | 241.8 | 74.4 | 88.7 | 103.7 |
|
Net Income
|
250.6 | 221.3 | 67.6 | 75.0 | 88.8 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
250.6 | 221.3 | 67.6 | 75.0 | 88.8 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
8,521.00 | 7,598.00 | 2,321.00 | 1,821.00 | 2,021.00 |
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