TNC

Cao su Thống Nhất ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Pre-tax profit relies materially on non-core sources Net financial result/PBT 27.39%
Price
32,600
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 11.69x
P/B 1.74x
EPS 2,789
BVPS 18,742
ROE 15.2%
ROA 14.0%
Profit Margin 31.3%
Asset Turnover 0.45x
Equity Mult. 1.08x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TNC is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. Notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 171bn
+25.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
31.32%
−1.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 54bn
+21.5%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
36.6%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 38.9 58.2 50.3 23.9 33.3 42.6 39.5 21.0 39.5 32.7 26.7 25.7
Growth -33% +16% +110% -28% -22% +8% +88% -47% +21% +22% +4%
Net Income 11.6 6.2 4.1 31.8 7.0 13.0 13.2 10.9 4.1 5.1 4.2 19.8
Net Margin 29.83% 10.61% 8.22% 132.71% 20.95% 30.56% 33.58% 52.08% 10.30% 15.60% 15.84% 77.06%

Drivers of TNC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Other profit ↑ 11.4bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.2bn
Financial income ↑ 1.1bn
Tax ↑ 2.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 4.5bn
Other profit ↑ 0.7bn
Tax ↑ 0.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 12.9% = 32.4% × 0.37 × 1.07
2026Q1 15.2% = 31.3% × 0.45 × 1.08

ROE rose from 12.9% to 15.2% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 31.3% -1.1pp Asset turnover: 0.45x +0.08x Leverage: 1.08x +0.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 31.32%, falling 1.1pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 5.4pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.6pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 4.9pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.7pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 31.32% −1.1pp
Gross Margin 27.38% −5.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 14.34% −1.6pp
Non-core / Revenue 23.16% +3.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Other income is supporting margin

Other income accounts for 64.0% of PBT and lifted net margin by 3.2pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 19.86% −5.2pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.09x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 38.7bn, roughly 10.1% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 16.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +1.6bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +14.0bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +0.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 27.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 26.7 days, DSO fell 1.7 days, and DPO fell 1.1 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 130.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 14.0 days −1.7 days
Inventory 126.0 days −26.7 days
Payables 9.6 days −1.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 130.4 days −27.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 4.9bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.03x
Interest Coverage
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 0.38x +0.37x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 4.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 17.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +22.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +30.8bn.

CFO / net income was 0.38x.

After spending +10.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +10.1bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 20.4bn +19.8bn
Cash Capex 10.3bn −5.0bn
FCF TTM +10.1bn +24.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.03x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.4%. The main risk still sits in working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle, with CCC extended to 130 days.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 27.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.38x.

Key risk: working capital remains tied up for too long, with cash cycle at 130.4 days.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
166.0 143.2 129.5 97.4 70.2
Cost of Goods Sold
123.4 104.1 107.9 75.3 0.0
Gross Profit
42.6 39.1 21.6 22.1 13.4
Financial Expenses
0.0 0.5 0.1 -0.0
Selling Expenses
9.7 8.5 1.8 2.7 -0.8
General and Administrative Expenses
14.9 12.8 11.3 9.7 -7.9
Operating Profit
35.3 34.9 32.4 42.5 42.0
Profit Before Tax
57.2 46.3 37.2 57.6 42.1
Net Income
49.2 40.4 32.8 51.8 40.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
49.2 40.4 32.8 51.8 40.1
Earnings per Share
1,903.00 1,545.00 1,392.00 2,198.00 1,881.00

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