TNC
Cao su Thống Nhất ·HOSE ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TNC is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. Notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 38.9 | 58.2 | 50.3 | 23.9 | 33.3 | 42.6 | 39.5 | 21.0 | 39.5 | 32.7 | 26.7 | 25.7 |
| Growth | -33% | +16% | +110% | -28% | -22% | +8% | +88% | -47% | +21% | +22% | +4% | — |
| Net Income | 11.6 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 31.8 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 13.2 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 19.8 |
| Net Margin | 29.83% | 10.61% | 8.22% | 132.71% | 20.95% | 30.56% | 33.58% | 52.08% | 10.30% | 15.60% | 15.84% | 77.06% |
Drivers of TNC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 12.9% to 15.2% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 31.32%, falling 1.1pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 5.4pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.6pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 4.9pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.7pp remained a drag).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Other income accounts for 64.0% of PBT and lifted net margin by 3.2pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.09x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 38.7bn, roughly 10.1% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 16.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 27.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 26.7 days, DSO fell 1.7 days, and DPO fell 1.1 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 130.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 4.9bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 4.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 17.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +22.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +30.8bn.
CFO / net income was 0.38x.
After spending +10.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +10.1bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.03x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.4%. The main risk still sits in working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle, with CCC extended to 130 days.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 27.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.38x.
Key risk: working capital remains tied up for too long, with cash cycle at 130.4 days.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
166.0 | 143.2 | 129.5 | 97.4 | 70.2 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
123.4 | 104.1 | 107.9 | 75.3 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
42.6 | 39.1 | 21.6 | 22.1 | 13.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
9.7 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 2.7 | -0.8 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
14.9 | 12.8 | 11.3 | 9.7 | -7.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
35.3 | 34.9 | 32.4 | 42.5 | 42.0 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
57.2 | 46.3 | 37.2 | 57.6 | 42.1 |
|
Net Income
|
49.2 | 40.4 | 32.8 | 51.8 | 40.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
49.2 | 40.4 | 32.8 | 51.8 | 40.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,903.00 | 1,545.00 | 1,392.00 | 2,198.00 | 1,881.00 |
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