ECO
Nhựa sinh thái Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, ECO is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 99.7 | 109.9 | 116.2 | 133.1 | 108.0 | 133.5 | 112.6 | 106.0 |
| Growth | -9% | -5% | -13% | +23% | -19% | +19% | +6% | — |
| Net Income | 2.0 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Net Margin | 1.99% | 2.45% | 4.41% | 1.79% | 2.66% | 2.88% | 2.93% | 2.96% |
Drivers of ECO's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 2.66%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC currently stands at 2.81%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 2.81% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.86x equity, net debt at 0.40x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 84.6bn, roughly 19.0% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 13.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 95.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 53.6bn due to capex of 70.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.40x and interest coverage only at 0.94x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 57.6% of total debt, cash equals 19.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 168.1bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Cash / debt stands at 19.6%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -44.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -87.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +131.7bn. Financing cash flow was positive +117.8bn.
CFO / net income was 1.40x.
After spending +70.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −53.6bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.8%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.40x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.40x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
467.3 | 454.1 | 276.5 | 141.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
428.9 | 424.2 | 252.7 | 133.9 |
|
Gross Profit
|
38.4 | 29.9 | 23.9 | 7.6 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
16.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
10.0 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.7 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
7.6 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
16.8 | 17.0 | 15.3 | 1.1 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
17.4 | 17.8 | 15.7 | 1.1 |
|
Net Income
|
13.2 | 14.1 | 12.5 | 1.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
13.3 | 14.1 | 12.5 | 1.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
663.00 | 705.00 | 624.00 | 163.00 |
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