VPX

Chứng khoán VPBank ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

Balanced operations NPAT +235.4% YoY
Price
26,550
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 2,059
BVPS (Latest) 12,382
P/E (Price/EPS) 12.9x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.1x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 14.4%
PBT Margin (TTM) 46.0%
Trading Share (Mix) 64.7%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 7.0%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 43.4%
Leverage (Latest) 1.3x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 4,639.6bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 46.0%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 7.3pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 64.7% after expanding by +11.0pp, while lending is at 28.3%; brokerage and services are still only 7.0% and have narrowed by 2.7pp, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 43.4% while Leverage is about 1.30x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 5.971 tỷ
+334,1%
Lãi thuần 3.578 tỷ
+203,9%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 2.527 tỷ
+166,2%
Dư nợ 36.278 tỷ
+181,7%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 543 tỷ
+157,8%
Lãi thuần −4,16 tỷ
−223,3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 514.7 1,215.7 2,360.1 549.1 350.7 379.4 340.3 317.9 182.1
Trading Share 63.7% 63.1% 54.5% 50.9% 58.5% 55.2% 48.6% 49.2% 44.0%
Lending Share 30.8% 29.5% 15.9% 32.7% 33.3% 33.0% 40.7% 38.7% 41.8%
Service & Brokerage Share 5.5% 7.4% 29.6% 16.5% 8.3% 11.8% 10.7% 12.1% 14.2%
PBT Margin 17.93% 49.52% 66.07% 46.48% 49.84% 56.69% 58.31% 49.14% 31.22%
Equity / Assets 43.4% 46.3% 32.6% 35.7% 52.4% 65.1% 75.4% 69.1% 70.6%
Leverage 1.30x 1.16x 2.06x 1.80x 0.91x 0.53x 0.33x 0.45x 0.42x

Drivers of VPX's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 2,402bn
Margin lending +VND 1,578bn
Other fees +VND 968bn
Total costs −VND 1,694bn
Tax −VND 638bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 618bn
Total costs −VND 481bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 64.7%, lending is at 28.3%, brokerage is around 6.1%, other services about 0.9%, brokerage plus services together are 7.0%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 10,079.5bn +287.2% YoY
PBT margin 46.0% −7.3pp
Trading Share 64.7% +11.0pp
Revaluation / Trading 36.0%

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 46.0%, Return on assets is about 6.6%, provisions equal 1.5% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 44.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 46.0% −7.3pp
Net margin 36.9% −5.7pp
ROAA 6.6% +4.4pp
ROAE 14.4% +10.0pp
Revaluation / PBT 44.7%

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 46.1% of assets, the prop book about 33.3%, liquid assets around 13.5%, equity roughly 43.4%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 46.1% +7.9pp
Prop book / Assets 33.3% −13.4pp
Liquid assets / Assets 13.5% +3.4pp
Equity / Assets 43.4% −9.0pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.30x +0.39x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 43.4% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.30x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 53.6% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.25x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 43.4% −9.0pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.30x +0.39x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 53.6% +6.9pp
Liquid assets / Assets 13.5% +3.4pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.25x +0.03x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, VPX currently looks like a more mixed case, with both supporting factors and watchpoints but no single clean direction yet.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
4,455.7 1,189.5
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
1,909.0 917.4
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
460.3 226.1
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
7,910.0 2,483.0
Operating expenses (21->33)
1,598.9 671.8
Gross profit
6,311.2 1,811.2
Total financial income (41->44)
47.8 7.2
Total financial expenses (51->54)
1,490.0 362.1
VI. General and Administrative expenses
396.8 236.8
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
4,472.1 1,219.6
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
4,475.6 1,219.7
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
906.5 244.0
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
3,569.1 975.7
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
3,569.1 975.7
Total other comprehensive income
239.2 -17.2
13.1. Earning per share
2,302.00 650.00
Earnings per Share
1,292.21 650.39

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