AGR

Chứng khoán Agribank ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ MARGIN LENDING STRONG

Margin lending strong Lending share 49.0%, ROAE 6.0%
Price
14,300
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 668
BVPS (Latest) 11,457
P/E (Price/EPS) 21.4x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 1.2x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 6.0%
PBT Margin (TTM) 36.4%
Trading Share (Mix) 20.4%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 30.6%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 50.4%
Leverage (Latest) 1.0x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 190.6bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 36.4%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 2.5pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 49.0% after expanding by +0.4pp, while trading is down to 20.4% after narrowing by 2.5pp; brokerage and services have reached 30.6% and improved by +2.1pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 50.4% while Leverage is about 0.98x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 170 tỷ
+25,5%
Lãi thuần 100 tỷ
+49,0%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 218 tỷ
+29,2%
Dư nợ 2.558 tỷ
+41,4%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 100 tỷ
+46,6%
Lãi thuần 57,3 tỷ
+40,6%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 54.6 36.5 86.1 13.4 40.4 54.3 37.5 32.9 43.8
Trading Share 22.6% 2.5% 28.9% 25.1% 33.9% 21.9% 16.9% 19.8% 23.8%
Lending Share 53.2% 63.6% 36.0% 47.0% 44.8% 48.7% 50.4% 49.5% 51.2%
Service & Brokerage Share 24.3% 33.9% 35.1% 27.9% 21.3% 29.5% 32.6% 30.7% 25.0%
PBT Margin 37.55% 29.56% 54.86% 13.72% 38.89% 54.09% 38.23% 26.97% 47.47%
Equity / Assets 50.4% 57.9% 64.9% 83.6% 85.8% 70.3% 69.8% 65.9% 71.3%
Leverage 0.98x 0.73x 0.54x 0.20x 0.17x 0.42x 0.43x 0.52x 0.40x

Drivers of AGR's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 49.2bn
Brokerage +VND 16.5bn
Trading +VND 11.4bn
Other fees +VND 5.3bn
Total costs −VND 57.0bn
Tax −VND 4.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 29.5bn
Margin lending +VND 21.4bn
Brokerage +VND 5.1bn
Total costs −VND 42.5bn
Tax −VND 3.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 49.0%, trading is at 20.4%, brokerage and services together remain around 30.6% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 523.6bn +23.4% YoY
PBT margin 36.4% −2.5pp
Lending Share 49.0% +0.4pp
Brokerage Share 22.5% +2.8pp
Other Fee Share 8.1% −0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 36.4%, Return on assets is about 3.8%, provisions equal -5.2% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 13.0% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Key signals

PBT margin 36.4% −2.5pp
Net margin 29.2% −1.9pp
ROAA 3.8% +0.4pp
ROAE 6.0% +0.7pp
Revaluation / PBT 13.0% −8.4pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 49.2% of assets, the prop book about 9.1%, liquid assets around 35.1%, equity roughly 50.4%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 49.2% −13.9pp
Prop book / Assets 9.1% −3.3pp
Liquid assets / Assets 35.1% +19.7pp
Equity / Assets 50.4% −35.4pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.98x +0.82x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 50.4% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.98x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 47.6% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.08x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 50.4% −35.4pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.98x +0.82x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 47.6% +36.4pp
Liquid assets / Assets 29.1% +14.0pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.08x −0.34x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, AGR is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
97.6 68.4
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
196.1 165.5
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
91.7 70.8
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
482.0 412.9
Operating expenses (21->33)
161.8 112.0
Gross profit
320.2 300.9
Total financial income (41->44)
1.5 1.2
Total financial expenses (51->54)
43.6 34.2
VI. General and Administrative expenses
102.1 99.1
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
176.0 168.9
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
176.3 168.5
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
34.5 33.4
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
141.9 135.2
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
141.9 135.2
Total other comprehensive income
-3.2 -22.1
13.1. Earning per share
562.00 627.00
Earnings per Share
620.29 626.22

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