VND

Chứng khoán VNDIRECT ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● TRADING VOLATILE

Trading volatile Revaluation 45.0% of PBT
Price
17,150
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,435
BVPS (Latest) 14,090
P/E (Price/EPS) 11.9x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 1.2x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 10.5%
PBT Margin (TTM) 37.9%
Trading Share (Mix) 56.4%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 20.6%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 44.7%
Leverage (Latest) 1.2x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 2,711.4bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 37.9%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +3.3pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 56.4% but narrowing by 1.6pp, while lending is at 23.0%; brokerage and services have reached 20.6% and improved by +4.5pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 44.7% while Leverage is about 1.24x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Trading
Doanh thu 4.309 tỷ
+35,3%
Lãi thuần 2.570 tỷ
+47,9%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 1.497 tỷ
+20,7%
Dư nợ 12.683 tỷ
+14,1%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 1.071 tỷ
+70,9%
Lãi thuần 385 tỷ
+92,2%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 681.3 376.6 1,165.2 488.2 478.1 275.3 620.1 426.1 766.9
Trading Share 60.7% 46.0% 62.0% 53.5% 61.9% 52.8% 57.8% 60.3% 53.5%
Lending Share 24.5% 31.8% 19.0% 19.1% 25.8% 28.5% 26.7% 22.3% 25.5%
Service & Brokerage Share 14.8% 22.1% 19.0% 27.4% 12.3% 18.7% 15.5% 17.3% 21.0%
PBT Margin 37.71% 26.38% 52.62% 28.74% 38.01% 22.72% 48.84% 29.22% 55.38%
Equity / Assets 44.7% 40.5% 36.7% 41.0% 40.1% 44.5% 45.0% 38.3% 41.4%
Leverage 1.24x 1.47x 1.73x 1.44x 1.49x 1.25x 1.22x 1.61x 1.41x

Drivers of VND's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 833bn
Margin lending +VND 257bn
Brokerage +VND 185bn
Other fees +VND 124bn
Total costs −VND 487bn
Tax −VND 211bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 174bn
Margin lending +VND 103bn
Brokerage +VND 41.3bn
Total costs −VND 116bn
Tax −VND 40.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 56.4%, lending is at 23.0%, brokerage is around 16.5%, other services about 4.2%, brokerage plus services together are 20.6%.

Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.

Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 7,147.2bn +37.5% YoY
PBT margin 37.9% +3.3pp
Trading Share 56.4% −1.6pp
Brokerage Share 16.5% +3.4pp
Revaluation / Trading 33.3% +10.3pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 37.9%, Return on assets is about 4.5%, provisions equal 4.5% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 45.0% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 37.9% +3.3pp
Net margin 30.6% +2.0pp
ROAA 4.5% +1.4pp
ROAE 10.5% +3.2pp
Revaluation / PBT 45.0% +9.6pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 26.4% of assets, the prop book about 38.9%, liquid assets around 23.9%, equity roughly 44.7%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 26.4% +4.2pp
Prop book / Assets 38.9% −13.3pp
Liquid assets / Assets 23.9% +4.2pp
Equity / Assets 44.7% +4.6pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.24x −0.26x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 44.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.24x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 46.3% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.06x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 44.7% +4.6pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.24x −0.26x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 46.3% −9.9pp
Liquid assets / Assets 21.8% +5.5pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.06x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, VND is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
3,453.3 2,758.1
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
1,393.6 1,254.9
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
971.9 719.9
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
6,640.2 5,324.9
Operating expenses (21->33)
2,551.7 2,122.1
Gross profit
4,088.5 3,202.8
Total financial income (41->44)
18.8 24.0
Total financial expenses (51->54)
1,124.8 681.7
VI. General and Administrative expenses
473.2 453.3
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
2,509.2 2,091.8
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
2,508.1 2,088.3
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
486.0 369.9
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
2,022.1 1,718.4
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
2,022.1 1,718.4
13.1. Earning per share
1,328.00 1,129.00
Earnings per Share
1,328.32 1,128.85

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